Sunderland vs Burnley Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

Last Updated on January 29, 2026 by author

The Premier League action returns to the Stadium of Light as Sunderland host Burnley in a crucial midweek encounter on Tuesday, 3rd February 2026. With both sides entering the final months of the season fighting for very different objectives, this fixture has serious implications at both ends of the table.

Sunderland are enjoying a remarkably solid campaign following their return to the Premier League, while Burnley are battling desperately to pull themselves out of the relegation zone. This clash offers an intriguing betting landscape, packed with value across match result, goals markets, and player props.

Match Information

• Match: Sunderland vs Burnley
• Competition: Premier League
• Date: Tuesday, 3 February 2026
• Kick‑off Time: 01:30 IST
• Venue: Stadium of Light, Sunderland

Current Premier League Standings (Before Kick‑off)

Sunderland have positioned themselves comfortably in mid‑table, while Burnley find themselves trapped deep in relegation trouble.

• Sunderland: 11th place – 33 points
• Burnley: 19th place – 15 points

Burnley have won just three league matches all season, and their defensive numbers remain among the worst in the division, conceding nearly two goals per game on average.

Sunderland Form Analysis

Sunderland’s return to the Premier League has been one of the quiet success stories of the season. The Black Cats are not free‑flowing entertainers every week, but they are disciplined, well‑coached, and extremely difficult to beat at home.

Recent Form (Last 5 Matches – All Competitions)

• West Ham 3‑1 Sunderland ❌
• Sunderland 2‑1 Crystal Palace ✅
• Everton 1‑1 Sunderland ➖
• Brentford 3‑0 Sunderland ❌
• Tottenham 1‑1 Sunderland ➖

Despite some mixed away results, Sunderland remain unbeaten in five of their last six home matches in the Premier League and average just 0.82 goals conceded per home game.

Tactical Strengths

• Compact defensive structure
• Strong wide play and crossing
• Efficient attacking transitions
• Excellent crowd support at Stadium of Light

Sunderland’s home record is the key reason bookmakers have installed them as clear favourites for this match.

Burnley Form Analysis

Burnley’s return to the Premier League has been brutally difficult. While Scott Parker’s side have shown occasional resilience, their inability to convert draws into wins has left them dangerously close to relegation.

Recent Form (Last 5 Matches)

• Burnley 2‑2 Tottenham ➖
• Liverpool 1‑1 Burnley ➖
• Brighton 2‑0 Burnley ❌
• Burnley 1‑3 Newcastle ❌
• Burnley 2‑2 Manchester United ➖

Burnley are winless in their last nine league matches, and their away form is especially concerning—with zero away clean sheets in the Premier League this season.

Key Problems

• Leaky defence
• Poor game management
• Struggles defending crosses
• Limited threat when chasing games

Head‑to‑Head Record: Sunderland vs Burnley

The recent head‑to‑head history tells a story of tight, low‑scoring encounters.

Last 5 Meetings

• Burnley 2‑0 Sunderland (Aug 2025)
• Burnley 0‑0 Sunderland (Jan 2025)
• Sunderland 1‑0 Burnley (Aug 2024)
• Burnley 0‑0 Sunderland (Mar 2023)
• Sunderland 2‑4 Burnley (Oct 2022)

Four of the last five meetings have produced Under 2.5 goals, and both teams have scored in only two of those fixtures.

Sunderland vs Burnley Injury & Team News

Sunderland Injuries

Missing key players could slightly affect Sunderland’s fluidity:

• Granit Xhaka – ankle injury (out)
• Bertrand Traoré – knee injury (out)
• Arthur Masuaku – ankle issue (out)

Despite these absences, Sunderland still have sufficient depth to remain competitive.

Burnley Injuries

Burnley are dealing with a far more severe injury crisis:

• Josh Cullen – ACL (out for season)
• Zeki Amdouni – knee injury
• Jordan Beyer – knee injury
• Connor Roberts – muscle injury
• Mike Tresor – ankle issue
• Zian Flemming – doubtful

The absence of multiple starters severely undermines Burnley’s chances, especially away from home.

Sunderland vs Burnley Odds (Best Available)

Match Result Odds (Average)

• Sunderland Win: 1.75 – 1.80
• Draw: 3.50 – 3.75
• Burnley Win: 4.70 – 5.30

Goals Markets

• Under 2.5 Goals: 1.65 – 1.70
• Over 2.5 Goals: 2.10 – 2.25

Both Teams to Score

• BTTS – Yes: 2.00+
• BTTS – No: 1.75

Odds sourced from multiple bookmakers and betting platforms.

Sunderland vs Burnley Prediction

Main Prediction: Sunderland to Win

Sunderland’s dominant home form, superior defensive structure, and Burnley’s dreadful away record make the home win the most logical selection.

Burnley have taken less than 0.5 points per away game, while Sunderland average over 2 points per home match, making this a mismatch on paper.

Best Betting Tips for Sunderland vs Burnley

✅ Tip 1: Sunderland to Win

• Reasoning:
  • Strong home form
  • Burnley winless away
  • Burnley injury crisis

Best Odds: 1.79

✅ Tip 2: Under 2.5 Goals

• Four of the last five meetings stayed under
• Sunderland games average low XG
• Burnley focus on containment away

Best Odds: 1.67 【High Confidence】

✅ Tip 3: Both Teams to Score – NO

Burnley struggle to score on the road and Sunderland rarely concede multiple goals at home.

Best Odds: 1.75

✅ Tip 4: Correct Score – Sunderland 1‑0 or 2‑0

Low‑risk scoreline aligns perfectly with data trends.

• 1‑0 Sunderland: High value
• 2‑0 Sunderland: Slightly bolder option

Betting Strategy Insight

This fixture is ideal for:

• Single bets on home win
• Double chance accumulators
• Conservative goal markets

Avoid speculative Burnley markets unless playing high‑odds long shots.

Final Verdict

Sunderland vs Burnley is a classic Premier League survival‑influenced fixture where metrics, form, and squad depth align clearly in one direction.

Sunderland’s consistency at the Stadium of Light, paired with Burnley’s poor away record and mounting injuries, makes the home side deserved favourites. Expect a controlled performance from Sunderland, a tight scoreline, and limited chances for Burnley.

✅ Final Prediction:

Sunderland to Win & Under 2.5 Goals