West Ham vs. Burnley Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

West Ham vs. Burnley Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

Posted on November 5, 2025 by in Football
West Ham vs. Burnley Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

The London Stadium is set for a crucial Premier League clash on Saturday, November 8th, 2025, as West Ham United prepares to host Burnley. This fixture pits two teams nestled in the lower reaches of the table against each other in a battle that carries significant weight for their respective campaigns. For West Ham, the match offers a chance to climb out of the relegation zone, while Burnley seeks to put some breathing room between themselves and the bottom three. With both teams exhibiting inconsistent form and defensive vulnerabilities, this encounter promises to be a tightly contested and potentially high-scoring affair.

The Hammers are coming off a massive 3-1 victory over Newcastle United, a result that provided a much-needed confidence boost for David Moyes’ side. Conversely, Burnley’s momentum was checked by a loss against league leaders Arsenal on Matchday 10. However, with both teams demonstrating a capacity for scoring and conceding goals, this matchup is one of the more unpredictable and intriguing fixtures of the Premier League weekend.

This article provides an in-depth analysis of the game, including team news, form guides, head-to-head statistics, and data-driven predictions. We’ll also explore the latest betting odds and offer expert tips to help you navigate the markets for this pivotal clash.

Current Team News and Lineups

West Ham Team News

West Ham will be buoyed by their performance against Newcastle but will have to navigate this fixture without a few key personnel. The attacking department has taken a hit, with striker Niclas Füllkrug ruled out due to muscular problems. He is joined on the treatment table by L. Lira dos Santos, who is sidelined with a shoulder injury.

On a positive note, Tomas Soucek is pushing for a starting role after making a significant impact off the bench in the previous match, sealing the victory with a goal. His potential inclusion in the starting eleven could provide additional stability and a goal threat from midfield. The rest of the squad is expected to be similar to the one that triumphed over Newcastle, with Jarrod Bowen and Michail Antonio leading the line in the absence of Füllkrug.

Burnley Team News

Burnley faces a lengthier injury list as they travel to London. Key players such as B. Humphreys (thigh problems), M. Ndayishimiye (unknown injury), and forward M. Amdouni (cruciate ligament tear) are all confirmed absentees. These injuries could force manager Vincent Kompany into several tactical adjustments.

Despite these setbacks, the Clarets have no suspended players for this fixture, allowing Kompany to field his strongest available side. The team will likely rely on the attacking impetus of players like Zeki Amdouni, who is mentioned as a creative force, though his status is conflicting in the sources and should be checked closer to kick-off.

Current League Standings and Form Guide

West Ham’s Fight for Survival

West Ham’s start to the 2025/26 season has been concerning. After 10 games, they find themselves in 18th place with just 7 points, having secured only 2 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses. Their goal difference of -11 is among the worst in the league, highlighting their struggles at both ends of the pitch.

Their recent form has been a mixed bag, with the win against Newcastle offering a glimmer of hope amidst a run of poor results. A look at their last six matches in all competitions shows a pattern of “WLLLDL”. Defensively, they have been particularly leaky, conceding goals in each of their last 10 home league games, with an average of 2.60 goals conceded per match at the London Stadium.

Burnley’s Battle to Stay Afloat

Burnley sits just above the relegation zone in 17th place with 10 points from their opening 10 fixtures. Their record shows 3 wins, 1 draw, and 6 defeats, with a goal difference of -7.

Their form guide reads “LWWLLL,” indicating a side capable of grabbing wins but struggling for consistency. Their main issue has been their performance on the road, where they have already suffered four defeats this season. However, their away games are rarely dull; they have seen over 2.5 goals in 100% of their last three away fixtures, and both teams have scored in all of their last four away matches.

Table: Recent Premier League Form (Last 5 Matches)

Team Form Goals Scored Goals Conceded
West Ham W L L L D 5 13
Burnley L L W W L 9 11

Head-to-Head (H2H) Analysis

The history between these two clubs adds an extra layer of intrigue to this fixture. Historically, West Ham has held a slight upper hand. In their 22 most recent meetings in all competitions, West Ham has won 11 times, while the draw has occurred on 5 occasions, and Burnley has managed 6 victories.

This gives West Ham a 50% win rate in the head-to-head standings, with the draw at 23% and Burnley at 27%. More recently, however, the clashes have been incredibly tight. Three of the last four Premier League meetings between these sides have ended in draws, suggesting that there is very little to separate them when they face off.

*Table: Head-to-Head Trends (Last 22 Matches)*

Statistic Value
West Ham Wins 11 (50%)
Draws 5 (23%)
Burnley Wins 6 (27%)
Matches with Over 1.5 Goals 17 (77%)
Matches with Over 2.5 Goals 13 (59%)
Both Teams to Score 13 (59%)

Match Predictions and Betting Tips

Scoreline Prediction: West Ham 2 – 1 Burnley

Our primary prediction, influenced by the latest team news and form, is a 2-1 victory for West Ham. This scoreline aligns with several key factors: West Ham’s home advantage and boosted confidence from their last win, Burnley’s tendency to score and concede on the road, and the historical data showing a high probability for both teams to find the net.

Alternative Prediction: West Ham 1 – 1 Burnley

Given that three of the last four H2H meetings have ended level, a 1-1 draw is a very plausible alternative outcome. This would be a result that does little to help either team’s predicament but reflects how evenly matched these two sides have been in recent years.

Betting Tips and Market Analysis

For bettors looking to place wagers on this match, here are the most insightful tips based on statistical analysis and current odds:

  • Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes. This is one of the strongest tips for this fixture. West Ham has conceded in 10 consecutive home league games, while Burnley has seen both teams score in 100% of their last four away matches. The odds for this are currently listed at a compelling 4/5.
  • Over 2.5 Goals. The attacking potential and defensive frailty of both teams make this an excellent market. Over 2.5 goals has been a feature in 7 of West Ham’s last 10 league matches and in 100% of Burnley’s last 3 away games.
  • Total Corners: 9 – 11. West Ham averages 5.09 corners per game, while Burnley averages 2.75. A combined corner count in the 9-11 range offers good value at odds of 2.60.
  • To Score: Jarrod Bowen. With Füllkrug out, even more goal-scoring responsibility falls on Jarrod Bowen. He is a constant threat and is the favorite to score anytime for the Hammers.

Key Players to Watch

The outcome of this match will likely be determined by individual battles across the pitch. Here are the key players who could influence the result:

  • Jarrod Bowen (West Ham): The dynamic forward is West Ham’s most potent attacking threat. His movement, finishing, and ability to create something from nothing will be crucial for breaking down the Burnley defense.
  • Tomas Soucek (West Ham): If he starts, his aerial presence in both boxes could be a deciding factor. He offers a significant goal threat from set-pieces and can help solidify the midfield.
  • Zeki Amdouni (Burnley): Despite conflicting injury reports, if fit, he is Burnley’s chief creative force. His vision and passing ability are key to unlocking the West Ham defense.
  • Callum Wilson (West Ham): Listed as a potential goalscorer in the betting markets, his experience and poacher’s instincts could be vital, especially if he comes off the bench.

Weather and Pitch Conditions

The match is expected to be played under cool conditions with a forecast temperature of 15° Celsius. Such conditions are ideal for a high-tempo football match and should not negatively impact the quality of play. The pitch at the London Stadium is typically in excellent condition, which should favor a team that wants to play passing, attacking football.

FAQs

What time does West Ham vs. Burnley kick off?

  • The Premier League match between West Ham and Burnley will kick off at 15:00 GMT (3:00 PM local time) on Saturday, November 8th, 2025.

Where can I watch West Ham vs. Burnley?

  • According to the available information, this game will not be televised live in the UK. Fans should check official club channels or Premier League broadcasting updates for any late changes, particularly for international viewers.

What are the win probabilities for the match?

  • Based on aggregated data and predictive models:
    • West Ham Win: 38% – 49.9%
    • Draw: 24.7% – 30%
    • Burnley Win: 24.69% – 27.7%

Who is the referee for the match?

  • The official appointed for this match has not been explicitly named in the sources, but detailed referee information is often available on the Premier League’s official website closer to the match day.

Conclusion

The clash between West Ham and Burnley is a classic “six-pointer” with major implications for the lower end of the Premier League table. While West Ham enters with slight favoritism due to home advantage and a morale-boosting win, Burnley’s resilience and the history of close contests between these two sides suggest an upset is very possible.

The most compelling narrative points towards a match with goals at both ends. Therefore, the best betting value appears to lie in markets like Both Teams to Score (Yes) and Over 2.5 Goals. For those seeking a definitive outcome, a 2-1 home win for West Ham seems the most likely result, but a 1-1 draw would surprise no one.

As always, it’s imperative to gamble responsibly and view these predictions as informed guidance rather than a guarantee. The beautiful game is often at its most unpredictable in high-stakes encounters like this one.

*Disclaimer: Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly. Must be 18+ to participate.*

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