Tottenham vs. Chelsea Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

The North West London derby between Tottenham and Chelsea on Saturday, November 1st, 2025, at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium is shaping up to be a Premier League classic. Despite Tottenham holding a higher league position, Chelsea’s formidable historical record in this fixture and potent attacking form make them a compelling pick for this encounter.

This preview offers a data-driven breakdown of the match, including expert betting tips, odds analysis, and the latest team news to guide your predictions.

Match Overview

• Competition: Premier League, Matchday 10
• Date: Saturday, November 1, 2025
• Kick-off Time: 17:30 UTC
• Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London

Tottenham vs Chelsea Prediction: Quick Betting Tips

For those seeking immediate guidance, here are the core predictions for this derby match:

• Match Result: Chelsea to Win
• Correct Score: 1-2 to Chelsea
• Both Teams to Score: Yes
• Total Goals: Over 2.5

Tottenham Team News and Form

Tottenham comes into this match in third place in the Premier League with 17 points from their first nine matches. Their recent form, however, has been inconsistent. They are unbeaten in nine of their last ten matches across all competitions, but have managed only one victory in their last seven home league games.

Tactical Setup and Key Players

Manager Thomas Frank is expected to set up his team in a 4-3-3 formation. The lineup will be built around goalkeeper Guglielmo Vicario, with the attack likely spearheaded by Richarlison, who is a tipped candidate for an anytime goalscorer bet.

Injury Concerns

Spurs have been dealt a significant blow with several key players ruled out due to injury :

• James Maddison (Midfielder): Cruciate Ligament Tear
• Domenic Solanke (Forward): Ankle Injury
• Radu Drăgușin (Defender): Cruciate Ligament Tear
• Dejan Kulusevski (Midfielder): Knee Injury

The absence of these pivotal figures, especially in creativity and attack, could severely hamper Tottenham’s effectiveness.

Chelsea Team News and Form

Occupying ninth place with 14 points, Chelsea’s league position belies their recent strong form. They have won four of their last six league matches, averaging 2.17 goals scored per game in that period. Their away form is particularly solid, remaining undefeated in eight of their last ten outings in all competitions.

Tactical Setup and Key Players

Chelsea’s manager Enzo Maresca favours a 4-2-3-1 system. The team will be marshalled by goalkeeper Robert Sánchez. Their style of play is characterised by high possession (averaging 59% in recent matches), very strong attacking through the middle, and creating numerous scoring chances from long shots and direct free-kicks.

Injury Concerns

Chelsea also has a list of absentees, though it may impact them less deeply :

• Levi Colwill (Defender): Cruciate Ligament Tear
• Mikhail Mudryk (Forward): Suspension
• Liam Delap (Forward): Hamstring Injury

Head-to-Head (H2H) Record and History

The historical record between these two sides shows a dominant trend in favour of Chelsea. This is arguably the most significant psychological factor heading into the match.

• Overall Record: Of the last 62 encounters, Chelsea has won 35 times, while Tottenham has managed only 18 victories. Another source shows Chelsea with 42 wins to Tottenham’s 10 in 72 total matches.
• Recent Meetings: Chelsea are unbeaten against Tottenham in 42 of their last 50 Premier League meetings and have won their last four matches against Spurs in all competitions.
• At Tottenham Hotspur Stadium: In their last six visits to Tottenham, Chelsea have secured victory five times, with Spurs winning only once.

Recent H2H Results

Tactical Analysis and Key Matchups

This match promises a fascinating tactical battle between two distinct styles.

• Tottenham’s Approach: Spurs will look to be organised and exploit moments in transition. However, with key creative outlets like Maddison injured, they may struggle to break down a disciplined Chelsea side and could be reliant on set-pieces or individual moments from players like Richarlison.
• Chelsea’s Approach: The Blues will aim to control the game through sustained possession and methodical buildup. Their strengths in scoring from long range and individual skill suggest they can break down a Tottenham defence missing crucial personnel. The matchup of Chelsea’s very strong attacking through the middle against Tottenham’s weak defending against through balls and through ball attacks is a key area where the visitors can exploit.

The battle in midfield, where Chelsea’s Moisés Caicedo and Enzo Fernández are expected to feature, will be crucial in dictating the tempo and cutting off supply lines to Tottenham’s attack.

Betting Odds and Markets Analysis

Current betting markets firmly position Chelsea as the favourites to win this encounter.

Moneyline (1X2) Odds

Other Popular Betting Markets

• Both Teams to Score (BTTS): “Yes” is priced at around 3/5 (1.60), reflecting the high probability that both teams will find the net.
• Over/Under 2.5 Goals: The “Over” is a strong favourite with odds around 1.73, aligning with the expectation of a high-scoring game.
• Correct Score: The most predicted scorelines are a 1-2 win for Chelsea, followed by a 2-2 draw.

Statistical Deep Dive and Trends

A closer look at the underlying stats reveals why the predictions lean towards Chelsea and goals.

Team Statistics (2025/26 Premier League)

Influential Trends

• Tottenham Trends:
  • Unbeaten in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
  • Winless in 6 of their last 7 home Premier League matches.
• Chelsea Trends:
  • Won their last 4 matches against Tottenham (all competitions).
  • Scored at least one goal in their last 13 away games in all competitions.
  • Over 2.5 goals have been scored in their last 6 Premier League matches.

Final Verdict and Recommended Bets

Based on the comprehensive analysis of form, tactics, historical data, and statistical trends, the recommendation for this match is clear.

1. Main Bet: Chelsea to Win
   The most compelling pick is a Chelsea victory. Their strong recent form, superior head-to-head record, particularly at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, and Tottenham’s injury crisis to key players make the Blues the logical choice. Odds of approximately 2.40 offer excellent value.
2. Secondary Bet: Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score (Yes)
   Combining “Over 2.5 Goals” with “Both Teams to Score” is a strong alternative. Both teams have high BTTS rates, and Chelsea’s matches have consistently seen over 2.5 goals recently. This fixture has historically produced goals, averaging 3.5 per game in the last six meetings.
3. Correct Score Prediction: Tottenham 1 – 2 Chelsea
   For those seeking higher odds, a 1-2 correct score prediction aligns with the algorithm forecasts and reflects Chelsea’s edge in a closely-fought match where Tottenham’s attack, boosted by home support, is still expected to contribute.

Disclaimer: Please gamble responsibly. These predictions are based on historical data and statistical models, and actual results may vary. Only bet what you can afford to lose.