Shkendija vs. Jagiellonia Bialystok Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

A fascinating UEFA Conference League clash is set to take place in Skopje as KF Shkendija hosts Jagiellonia Bialystok at the Toše Proeski Arena on Thursday, November 6, 2025. With both teams locked on three points in the league phase , this match represents a critical opportunity to climb the standings and enhance their prospects in the competition. This comprehensive preview will provide you with everything you need to know—from tactical analysis and predicted lineups to expert betting tips.

Match Overview

The 2025-26 UEFA Conference League introduces a refreshed league phase, and this fixture is a pivotal one for both clubs. Jagiellonia Bialystok currently holds a slight edge in the standings with a goal difference of +1, compared to Shkendija’s -1. Every match and every goal is crucial for securing a favorable position to advance to the knockout rounds.

• Match: KF Shkendija vs. Jagiellonia Bialystok
• Competition: UEFA Conference League 2025-26
• Date: Thursday, November 6, 2025
• Kick-off Time: 20:00 UTC
• Venue: Toše Proeski Arena, Skopje, North Macedonia

For viewers in the United Kingdom, the match will be available for live streaming on TNT Sports via discovery+.

Team Analysis and Tactical Preview

KF Shkendija: The Home Side

Shkendija, hailing from Tetovo and playing their home matches in Skopje, comes into this game with a full squad to choose from, as they have no reported unavailable players. This gives their manager significant flexibility in team selection. The squad is a mix of domestic Macedonian talent and players from across the Balkans, which provides a solid foundation of technical skill and physical resilience.

Historically, Shkendija has been a dominant force in North Macedonian football, and their European experience, while challenging, has taught them how to organize defensively and exploit opportunities on the counter-attack. Playing at home, albeit at a neutral venue in the capital, they will still feel the support of their fans and will be desperate to put on a strong performance.

Jagiellonia Bialystok: The Polish Contenders

Jagiellonia Bialystok, under the guidance of coach Adrian Siemieniec , boasts a more cosmopolitan squad with a blend of Polish internationals and foreign imports. Key players to watch include midfielder Jesús Imaz, whose creativity in the center of the park is vital, and winger Kamil Jóźwiak, who provides pace and directness on the flanks.

However, the Polish side has a significant absentee. Goalkeeper Sławomir Abramowicz is set to miss the match due to injury. This could be a major blow to their defensive stability and is a factor that must be considered when analyzing the team’s chances. In his absence, Miłosz Piekutowski is the likely candidate to start between the posts.

Jagiellonia’s form has been inconsistent lately. Their recent match history shows a pattern of two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five outings across all competitions. While they have shown they can score goals, this inconsistency, especially away from home, is a vulnerability that Shkendija will look to expose.

Predicted Lineups and Formation

Based on the available squad lists and team news, here is how the two teams could line up:

Table Note: Specific Shkendija starting players are not detailed in the available sources, but their official squad list includes options across all positions.

Jagiellonia is likely to employ a 4-3-3 formation, leveraging the width provided by their attacking full-backs and wingers to create chances. Shkendija’s setup is less certain but often operates from a solid base, which could be a 4-2-3-1 or a 4-1-4-1, focusing on maintaining a compact defensive shape and looking to transition quickly through their creative midfielders.

Head-to-Head and Current Form

This match marks the first-ever competitive meeting between KF Shkendija and Jagiellonia Bialystok. With no historical head-to-head record to analyze, the focus shifts entirely to each team’s current form, squad strength, and European pedigree.

Recent Form Guide

The table below summarizes the recent performance of both teams leading up to this fixture.

Jagiellonia’s recent match was a 1-0 defeat to Raków Częstochowa in the Polish Ekstraklasa, a result that highlights their occasional struggles to convert chances. Prior to that, they managed a 1-1 draw away at Gornik Zabrze and a 0-0 draw away against RC Strasbourg in the Conference League, demonstrating an ability to grind out results on the road.

Key Factors and Match Prediction

Factors Influencing the Outcome

1. Jagiellonia’s Absentee: The confirmed absence of first-choice goalkeeper Sławomir Abramowicz is a significant advantage for Shkendija. A backup goalkeeper, even an experienced one, can introduce uncertainty into a defense, especially in a high-stakes European away match.
2. Home Advantage: While not their regular stadium, Shkendija will still benefit from familiar conditions and local support. The atmosphere can play a role in intimidating the visiting team.
3. European Pedigree: Jagiellonia, as a team from a stronger domestic league, should theoretically have the quality advantage. However, Shkendija is no stranger to European football and understands the level of discipline required.
4. Away Form Concerns: Jagiellonia’s patchy recent form, particularly away from home where they have failed to score in some games, is a cause for concern. This suggests they might approach the game cautiously.

Match Prediction

Predicting this match is challenging due to the lack of direct historical data and limited information on Shkendija’s current form. However, the available clues point towards a tightly contested affair.

Jagiellonia Bialystok possesses more individual quality and plays in a superior domestic league. This, in theory, should give them the edge. However, their injury concern in goal and inconsistent away form make them vulnerable.

Shkendija, with a full squad and the motivational boost of a home European night, will be well-organized and difficult to break down. They will see Jagiellonia’s weakened goalkeeping situation as a major opportunity.

Therefore, a draw seems like a probable outcome. Shkendija’s resilience at home and Jagiellonia’s potential struggles in front of goal could see the points shared.

Final Score Prediction: KF Shkendija 1 – 1 Jagiellonia Bialystok

Betting Tips and Odds Insights

When the betting markets open, they will reflect the perceived strength of the two teams. Jagiellonia Bialystok will likely be the favorite, but the value bets may lie elsewhere given the contextual factors.

Recommended Betting Tips

Based on the analysis, here are some strategic betting tips to consider:

Always remember to gamble responsibly. Only bet what you can afford to lose, and ensure the operators you use are licensed and regulated.

How to Watch the Match

Fans around the world can tune in to catch this intriguing European clash. The match will be broadcast live on Paramount+ in the United States. In the United Kingdom, TNT Sports will be showing the game via their streaming platform, discovery+, as well as on the Discovery+ TNT Sports Amazon Channel. As always, check local listings for any last-minute changes to broadcasting schedules.

Conclusion

The Stage is Set for a compelling tactical battle in Skopje. While Jagiellonia Bialystok enters as the paper favorite, the absence of their starting goalkeeper and their inconsistent form levels the playing field significantly. KF Shkendija, with a full-strength squad and home support, has a genuine chance to take something from this game.

Our prediction leans towards a 1-1 draw, a result that would see both teams add a point to their tally in the Conference League. For bettors, the most value appears to lie in backing Shkendija to avoid defeat and expecting both teams to score. Whatever the outcome, this first-ever meeting between two proud clubs promises to be an engaging and hard-fought contest.