Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo Prediction, Betting Tips

As the La Liga season approaches its climax, Real Madrid prepares to host Celta Vigo at the iconic Santiago Bernabéu on Sunday, May 4, 2025. This match is pivotal for both teams: Real Madrid aims to keep their title hopes alive, while Celta Vigo seeks to break a 19-year winless streak at the Bernabéu.

Match Preview

Fixture Details

• Date: Sunday, May 4, 2025
• Time: 12:00 UTC (10:00 PM AEST)
• Venue: Santiago Bernabéu Stadium, Madrid
• Competition: La Liga, Matchday 34

Head-to-Head Statistics

Historically, Real Madrid has dominated this fixture:

• Total Matches Played: 134
• Real Madrid Wins: 79
• Celta Vigo Wins: 34
• Draws: 21

In recent encounters, Real Madrid has maintained superiority, winning nine consecutive matches against Celta Vigo, with six of those victories by a margin of two or more goals.

Current Form

Real Madrid

Real Madrid currently sits 2nd in La Liga, trailing the leaders by a narrow margin. Their recent form includes:

• Last 5 Matches: W-W-L-W-W
• Notable Victories: A 4-0 win over Real Sociedad and a 2-1 away victory against Arsenal in the Champions League.

However, defensive lapses in the closing stages have been a concern, with the team conceding 10 goals after the 76th minute this season, surpassing last season’s total in that timeframe.

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo finds themselves in 7th place, striving for European qualification. Their recent form is mixed:

• Last 5 Matches: W-D-W-D-L
• Away Performance: Struggling, with only 2 wins in their last 13 away league matches.

The team has shown resilience but often falters against top-tier opponents, especially on the road.

Tactical Analysis

Real Madrid

Under Carlo Ancelotti, Real Madrid employs a flexible 4-3-3 formation, emphasizing possession and quick transitions. Key players like Vinícius Júnior and Jude Bellingham provide creativity and goal-scoring threats. However, the defense has shown vulnerabilities, particularly in the latter stages of matches.

Celta Vigo

Managed by Claudio Giráldez, Celta Vigo often utilizes a 4-2-3-1 setup, focusing on structured defense and counter-attacks. The team’s success heavily relies on the performance of Iago Aspas, who, when in form, can challenge any defense.

Key Players to Watch

Real Madrid:

• Vinícius Júnior: A dynamic winger known for his pace and dribbling, crucial in breaking down defenses.
• Jude Bellingham: A versatile midfielder contributing both defensively and offensively.

Celta Vigo:

• Iago Aspas: The team’s talisman, leading in goals and assists, pivotal for Celta’s attacking endeavors.
• Fran Beltrán: A midfield anchor, responsible for breaking up opposition plays and initiating attacks.

Betting Odds and Tips

Match Outcome Odds (via Bet365):

• Real Madrid Win: $1.36
• Draw: $5.75
• Celta Vigo Win: $6.50

Over/Under 2.5 Goals:

• Over 2.5 Goals: $1.40
• Under 2.5 Goals: $3.00

Betting Tips:

1. Real Madrid to Win & Both Teams to Score: Given Real Madrid’s attacking prowess and defensive lapses, this bet offers value.
2. Over 2.5 Goals: Considering the attacking talents on display, a high-scoring game is plausible.
3. Anytime Goal Scorer – Vinícius Júnior: In fine form, he’s a constant threat to defenses.

Predicted Lineups

Real Madrid (4-3-3):

• Goalkeeper: Thibaut Courtois
• Defenders: Dani Carvajal, Éder Militão, David Alaba, Ferland Mendy
• Midfielders: Luka Modrić, Aurélien Tchouaméni, Jude Bellingham
• Forwards: Rodrygo, Karim Benzema, Vinícius Júnior

Celta Vigo (4-2-3-1):

• Goalkeeper: Iván Villar
• Defenders: Hugo Mallo, Joseph Aidoo, Unai Núñez, Javi Galán
• Midfielders: Fran Beltrán, Renato Tapia
• Attacking Midfielders: Óscar Rodríguez, Iago Aspas, Franco Cervi
• Forward: Gonçalo Paciência

Final Prediction

Real Madrid’s home advantage and superior squad depth make them favorites. However, Celta Vigo’s determination to end their Bernabéu drought could make for an engaging contest.

Predicted Score: Real Madrid 3 – 1 Celta Vigo

How to Watch

The match will be broadcast live on DAZN LaLiga and LaLiga TV Bar. Fans can also follow live updates and commentary on the official La Liga website and various sports news outlets.