The Championship returns this weekend with a compelling fixture as Norwich City welcomes Hull City to Carrow Road on Saturday, November 1, 2025. This encounter pits a struggling Canaries side, languishing in 23rd position with just 8 points, against an upwardly mobile Tigers team sitting comfortably in 8th place with 19 points. While recent form heavily favors the visitors, Norwich’s historical dominance in this fixture adds an intriguing layer of uncertainty to this Championship clash.
Both teams are heading in opposite directions this season. Norwich arrives haunted by a six-match home losing streak across all competitions, while Hull City approaches the contest with growing confidence, having scored in nine consecutive league games. This match promises to be a classic encounter between a team desperate to reverse their fortunes and another aiming to solidify their promotion credentials.
Norwich City: A Struggle for Points and Confidence
Norwich City’s season has been concerning, with the team managing just two wins from their opening twelve matches. Their recent form makes for grim reading, particularly at Carrow Road where they’ve lost all five of their recent home matches. This disappointing run has left them hovering just above the relegation zone, with only eight points to their name.
Recent Form:
The statistical profile reveals a team struggling at both ends of the pitch. Norwich has failed to score in 60% of their recent matches while conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game overall. Their expected goals (xG) of 1.33 against an expected goals against (xGA) of 1.61 further illustrates their difficulties in creating quality chances while remaining vulnerable defensively.
Despite these struggles, one glimmer of hope comes from their historical performance against Hull City. Norwich has not lost to Hull in their last five league meetings, a psychological advantage they’ll hope to leverage.
Hull City: Momentum and Attacking Fluency
In stark contrast to their hosts, Hull City has made a “decent start to this term” under manager Sergej Jakirovic. With 19 points from 12 games, they sit on the brink of the playoff positions and have shown impressive attacking form in recent outings.
Recent Form:
Hull’s offensive numbers are notably stronger than Norwich’s, averaging 1.8 goals scored per game. However, defensive stability remains a concern, with the Tigers conceding in 5 of their last 6 matches for a total of 8 goals against. Their matches have been notably high-scoring affairs, particularly away from home where games have averaged 4.0 total goals.
The historical record between these two sides reveals a significant advantage for Norwich City, particularly in recent encounters. This historical dominance could play a crucial psychological role despite the two teams’ contrasting current forms.
Overall Head-to-Head Record
| Competition | Matches | Norwich Wins | Hull Wins | Draws |
| All Competitions | 45 | 18 | 16 | 11 |
| Championship | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 |
| Premier League | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Recent Encounters
Norwich has dominated recent meetings between these clubs, particularly at Carrow Road where they’ve won all of their last four home matches against Hull in all competitions. This impressive streak includes:
The goal statistics further emphasize Norwich’s dominance in this fixture, with 54 goals scored compared to Hull’s 30 across their 21 Championship meetings. Interestingly, matches between these sides have typically been high-scoring affairs, with over 2.5 goals landing in 83.3% of their historical Championship encounters.
Norwich’s Predicted Setup and Approach
Norwich is expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, with Josh Sargent leading the line. The American striker will be crucial to Norwich’s hopes of ending their goal drought, particularly at home where they’ve failed to score in their last two matches.
Key tactical points for Norwich:
Hull City’s Game Plan and Strengths
Hull City is likely to deploy a 3-4-1-2 formation, with an emphasis on quick transitions and getting shots away efficiently. Their training sessions have specifically focused on “getting the ball moving forward quickly and getting shots away”, an approach that has yielded noticeable improvements in their attacking output this season.
Hull’s tactical advantages:
Midfield Battle and Key Duels
The midfield contest between Norwich’s organization and Hull’s creative players will likely determine the match’s outcome. Hull’s Matt Crooks has been identified as a potential disciplinary risk, and his ability to influence the game while avoiding booking could be pivotal.
Norwich City Team News
In a rare positive for the struggling Canaries, Norwich manager Liam Manning has “no fitness worries at all ahead of this clash with a fully injury-free group available for selection”. This gives Norwich the maximum possible flexibility to field their strongest lineup as they seek to reverse their dismal home form.
Expected Norwich Lineup (4-2-3-1):
Kovacevic; Stacey, Medic, Darling, McLean; Topic, Mattsson; Makama, Gibbs, Schwartau; Sargent
Hull City Injury Concerns
Hull City faces significant selection headaches with multiple key players potentially unavailable. The most notable absence is Oli McBurnie, who has become “a fans’ favourite at the MKM Stadium already” according to manager Jakirovic. The Scottish striker’s absence is a substantial blow, with Jakirovic admitting “You cannot replace Oli McBurnie as a person or with his quality”.
Confirmed Hull Absences:
In McBurnie’s absence, Kyle Joseph is expected to lead the line, with Enis Destan providing backup from the bench. The only positive injury news for Hull is the return of left-back James Furlong to full training after a long-term absence.
Expected Hull Lineup (3-4-1-2):
Pandur; Egan, Ajayi, Hughes; Drameh, Hadziahmetovic, Slater, Giles; Crooks (if fit); Joseph, Gelhardt
Match Prediction
This match presents a classic contradiction between current form and historical precedent. While Hull City arrives with better recent results and league positioning, Norwich’s dominant head-to-head record, particularly at Carrow Road, cannot be ignored.
Our prediction: Norwich City 2-1 Hull City
This scoreline reflects Norwich’s potential to capitalize on their historical advantage against Hull, while also acknowledging the visitors’ consistent scoring record. Norwich’s desperate need for points at home, combined with their psychological hold over Hull, should see them edge a closely contested match.
Recommended Betting Tips
Based on statistical analysis and team news, here are the most valuable betting recommendations:
Value Bets and Statistical Insights
As Norwich City and Hull City prepare to face off at Carrow Road, this Championship clash represents more than just three points. For Norwich, it’s an opportunity to break a damaging home losing streak and rediscover their form against a favored opponent. For Hull City, it’s a chance to overcome historical demons and cement their position in the playoff chase.
The absence of Oli McBurnie significantly impacts Hull’s attacking threat, while Norwich’s clean bill of health gives them their best possible chance to turn around their fortunes. While current form overwhelmingly favors the visitors, the historical record suggests Norwich will find a way to get a result.
In what promises to be an entertaining, open affair, expect Norwich to capitalize on their home advantage and historical dominance to secure a much-needed 2-1 victory, though Hull’s attacking consistency should ensure they find the net in a match featuring over 2.5 goals.
Note: Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly. Terms and conditions apply to all recommended betting offers.
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