Newcastle vs. Tottenham Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

The defending Carabao Cup champions, Newcastle United, host a resurgent Tottenham Hotspur at St. James’ Park in a blockbuster fourth-round fixture that promises drama and goals. This matchup is more than just a cup tie; it’s a test of pedigree against progress, with a coveted quarter-final spot on the line. The Magpies have built a fortress at home in this competition, while Spurs, under Thomas Frank, are crafting a formidable identity on the road. With both teams possessing potent attacks and distinct tactical philosophies, this encounter is poised to be a thrilling contest decided by fine margins.

Match Overview and Broadcast Information

The footballing world turns its eyes to St. James’ Park on Wednesday, October 29, 2025, for this electrifying Carabao Cup clash. The kick-off is scheduled for 8:00 PM GMT , with the atmosphere expected to be electric as the home fans will their team towards another Wembley memory.

For fans unable to secure a ticket, the match will be broadcast live across several platforms. In the UK, you can catch the game on Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Ultra HDR. Additionally, ITV1 and STV will also be televising the match, with live streams available through their respective digital services, ITVX and the STV Player, as well as via Sky Go. For those following on the go, The Standard Sport will be running a live blog with expert analysis directly from the ground.

Current Team Form and Analysis

Newcastle United: The Defending Champions’ Resolve

Newcastle United enters this match with the wind in their sails, having secured four wins in their last five competitive outings. Their most recent result, a hard-fought 2-1 Premier League victory over Fulham, was sealed by a late Bruno Guimaraes goal, demonstrating the team’s resilience and fighting spirit. This form is part of a broader pattern of success for the Magpies, who have won four of their last six matches across all competitions.

Eddie Howe’s men have been particularly formidable in the Carabao Cup, a competition that has been kind to them in recent years. They began their title defense with a commanding 4-1 victory over Bradford City in the previous round. The statistics underscore their dominance in this tournament; they have won their last four home EFL Cup games by a margin of two or more goals and have scored at least two goals in each of their last six EFL Cup fixtures. At St. James’ Park, their form is even more impressive, boasting a 100% win record in the EFL Cup and an overall home record that has seen them win all their games at this stage of the competition.

Tottenham Hotspur: The Stern Away Test

Tottenham arrives in Newcastle on the back of a statement 3-0 away win at Everton, a result that ended a two-match winless streak and showcased their potential despite a lengthy injury list. That victory extended their impressive unbeaten run on the road to seven matches, a record that will give them confidence heading into one of the league’s most challenging atmospheres.

Under Thomas Frank, Spurs have become a force away from home, winning four and drawing one of their five away games in the Premier League this season. They navigated their initial Carabao Cup hurdle with a 3-0 win over Doncaster Rovers. However, their overall form has been a mix of resilience and frustration, with just two wins in their last six competitive matches, alongside three draws and one loss. This suggests a team that is difficult to beat but sometimes lacks the cutting edge to convert draws into wins.

Head-to-Head (H2H) History

The historical ledger between these two clubs is remarkably even, with 74 Tottenham wins slightly edging out 64 Newcastle victories, alongside 34 draws. However, this broad history masks a significant and decisive recent trend.

Table: Recent Head-to-Head Results

Newcastle has won five of the last six competitive meetings between these sides. The Magpies have developed a particular knack for getting the better of Spurs at St. James’ Park, emerging victorious on their last three visits. This dominant recent record, especially at home, provides Newcastle with a substantial psychological advantage heading into this cup tie.

Team News and Lineup Predictions

Newcastle United

Eddie Howe has some selection dilemmas, particularly in defense. Sven Botman suffered a head injury in the win over Fulham and, while not believed to have suffered a concussion, is likely to be rested as a precaution. This could see Fabian Schar partner with another central defender. In midfield, the influential Sandro Tonali is fit after shaking off a knock and is expected to start in a formidable trio alongside Joelinton and Bruno Guimaraes.

In attack, Anthony Elanga, a big-money signing, is pushing for a start after struggling for form, while Harvey Barnes is also due a start and could feature. Nick Woltemade is expected to keep his place leading the line. The confirmed absentees include Yoane Wissa, Lewis Hall, and Tino Livramento, who all remain in the recovery room.

Newcastle Predicted Lineup (4-3-3): Pope; Trippier, Schar, Lascelles, Burn; Guimaraes, Tonali, Joelinton; Barnes, Woltemade, Gordon.

Tottenham Hotspur

Spurs’ campaign has been hampered by a significant injury crisis that shows little sign of abating. They are expected to be without nine first-team players for this trip. The key confirmed absentees include Cristian Romero, Dominic Solanke, James Maddison, Dejan Kulusevski, and Destiny Udogie.

With a crucial Premier League fixture against Chelsea on the horizon, manager Thomas Frank is expected to rotate his squad. This could mean starts for Pape Sarr and Lucas Bergvall in midfield, giving the likes of Rodrigo Bentancur and Joao Palhinha a rest. Micky van de Ven and Kevin Danso are set to start at center-back due to the lack of alternatives. Up front, Randal Kolo Muani may be benched after looking tired against Everton, with Richarlison potentially coming into the side.

Tottenham Predicted Lineup (4-2-3-1): Vicario; Porro, Danso, van de Ven, Emerson; Sarr, Bergvall; Johnson, Simons, Son; Richarlison.

Tactical Analysis and Key Battles

1. Midfield Supremacy: The core of this match will be decided in the midfield. Newcastle’s expected trio of Guimaraes, Tonali, and Joelinton offers a blend of technical quality, tenacious pressing, and physical power. If Tottenham rotates as anticipated, their potentially less-experienced midfield could be overrun. The ability of Spurs’ midfield to withstand Newcastle’s pressure and control the tempo will be critical.
2. Exploiting the Flanks: With both teams likely fielding strong, attacking full-backs, the wide areas will be a key battleground. Newcastle’s Kieran Trippier will look to deliver his trademark crosses, while Tottenham’s Pedro Porro offers a similar threat. The team that can better nullify the other’s wide threat while effectively launching their own attacks will gain a significant advantage.
3. The Pressing Trap: Newcastle, particularly at home, are known for their high-intensity press. They will look to force errors from Tottenham’s defense and build-up play. Spurs’ ability to play through this press with quick, incisive passing will determine whether they can relieve pressure and create chances of their own.

Betting Odds, Tips and Predictions

Match Odds

The bookmakers have installed Newcastle as the clear favorites, a reflection of their strong home form, superior recent record in this fixture, and Tottenham’s extensive injury list.

• Newcastle United to Win: 4/5
• Draw: 3/1
• Tottenham Hotspur to Win: 11/3

Betting Tips and Predictions

Based on the analysis of form, tactics, and team news, several betting markets present value.

• Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes. Despite Newcastle’s defensive solidity at home, Tottenham’s impressive away form and attacking talent suggest they can find the net. However, Spurs’ patched-up defense is likely to concede against a confident Newcastle attack. This pick is supported by the BTTS market odds of 2/3.
• Over 2.5 Goals. The recent head-to-head history and both teams’ attacking tendencies point towards a game with goals. Four of the last six H2H meetings have seen over 2.5 goals. Odds for Over 2.5 Goals are available at 2.75.
• Correct Score: Newcastle 2-1 Tottenham. This scoreline reflects Newcastle’s edge as the home side and cup holders, while also acknowledging Tottenham’s capability to score. It has been a recurring result in recent fixtures, including their league meeting in September 2024.

Alternative Betting Markets

For those looking beyond the standard markets, consider these options:

• To be booked: Rodrigo Bentancur (@ 2.75) – If the Tottenham midfielder starts, he could be in for a physical battle against Newcastle’s powerful midfield.
• Total Corners: 9-11 (@ 2.63 Odds) – With both teams likely to utilize their attacking full-backs, a high corner count is expected.

Final Prediction and Conclusion

This Carabao Cup tie has all the ingredients for a classic. Newcastle United stands as the firm favorite, bolstered by their formidable home record in this competition, a psychological hold over Tottenham from recent encounters, and a more settled squad compared to their injury-ravaged opponents. The expected midfield trio of Guimaraes, Tonali, and Joelinton should dictate the game’s tempo and provide the platform for victory.

However, Tottenham Hotspur under Thomas Frank is a different proposition away from home—organized, resilient, and capable of getting a result. Their unbeaten away run cannot be discounted. They will make life intensely difficult for the hosts and are more than capable of taking the game to a penalty shootout.

In the end, Newcastle’s strength in key areas, combined with their cup pedigree and the roaring support of the St. James’ Park faithful, should see them through in a tightly contested match.

Final Score Prediction: Newcastle United 2 – 1 Tottenham Hotspur

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