Mattia Bellucci vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction and Betting Tips

Mattia Bellucci vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction and Betting Tips

Posted on February 5, 2025 by in Tennis
Mattia Bellucci vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction and Betting Tips
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The upcoming match between Mattia Bellucci and Daniil Medvedev at the ABN AMRO Open in Rotterdam has garnered significant attention from tennis enthusiasts and bettors alike. Scheduled for February 5, 2025, this first-time encounter between the Italian qualifier and the Russian former world number one promises to be an intriguing contest.

Player Profiles

Mattia Bellucci

Mattia Bellucci, currently ranked 146th in the ATP rankings, has been making steady progress on the professional circuit. Over the past year, he has achieved a win-loss record of 62.5% (55 wins and 33 losses), primarily competing in Challenger and ITF tournaments. His performance on hard courts stands out, with a career win percentage of 68% (134 wins and 64 losses), indicating his comfort and proficiency on this surface.

In recent form, Bellucci has demonstrated resilience under pressure, saving 64.16% of breakpoints faced. His return game has been effective, winning 51.6% of opponents’ second serve points and 32.58% of first serve return points. These statistics highlight his ability to challenge opponents’ service games and capitalize on opportunities.

Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev, a prominent figure in men’s tennis, boasts a current ATP ranking within the top 10. Over the last year, he has maintained a win-loss record of 66.67% (42 wins and 21 losses), competing predominantly in Masters series events. His performance on hard courts is particularly impressive, with a career win percentage of 76% (248 wins and 80 losses), underscoring his dominance on this surface.

Medvedev’s recent statistics reveal a breakpoint save percentage of 60.51%, along with winning 52.87% of opponents’ second serve points and 33.31% of first serve return points. These figures reflect his strong defensive skills and his capacity to exert pressure during return games.

Head-to-Head Analysis

This match marks the inaugural meeting between Bellucci and Medvedev on the ATP Tour. While there is no direct head-to-head data, a comparative analysis of their performances provides insights into the potential dynamics of the match.

Bellucci’s success has largely come from Challenger and ITF events, where he has faced opponents with an average ranking of 186.72 over the past year. In contrast, Medvedev has consistently competed at higher-tier tournaments against players with an average ranking of 46.59. This disparity in competition level suggests that Medvedev is more accustomed to facing top-tier opponents.

In matches extending to a deciding set, Bellucci has secured victory 46% of the time in the past year, while Medvedev has done so 63% of the time. This indicates Medvedev’s superior performance in high-pressure situations.

Betting Odds and Predictions

Given the players’ profiles and statistics, bookmakers have positioned Daniil Medvedev as the clear favorite for this encounter. His extensive experience and proven track record on hard courts contribute to this assessment.

However, bettors should consider Bellucci’s recent form and his potential to perform above expectations. While an outright win for Bellucci may be unlikely, he could challenge Medvedev in individual sets, making markets such as total games or set betting worth exploring.

Conclusion

The match between Mattia Bellucci and Daniil Medvedev presents a classic scenario of an emerging talent facing an established star. While Medvedev’s experience and hard-court prowess make him the favorite, Bellucci’s recent performances suggest he could provide a competitive challenge. Bettors are advised to consider the statistical insights and current form of both players when making informed decisions.

 

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