Lucchese vs. Perugia Prediction and Betting Tips

Lucchese vs. Perugia Prediction and Betting Tips

Posted on February 16, 2025 by in Football
Lucchese vs. Perugia Prediction and Betting Tips
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The Serie C – Girone B clash between Lucchese and Perugia on February 17, 2025, promises to be an intriguing encounter. Both teams are struggling to find consistent form this season, making this match a critical one for their respective campaigns. In this article, we’ll dive deep into the teams’ recent performances, head-to-head records, and betting odds to provide you with comprehensive predictions and tips.

Match Overview

  • Date: February 17, 2025
  • Time: 19:30 GMT
  • Venue: Stadio Porta Elisa, Lucca
  • Competition: Serie C – Girone B

Lucchese and Perugia are currently positioned 16th and 14th in the league table, respectively. With both teams hovering near the lower half of the standings, this match could be pivotal in determining their fate for the remainder of the season.

Team Form and Analysis

Lucchese

Lucchese has had a mixed run of form in their last 10 games, securing 2 wins, 5 losses, and 3 draws. They’ve scored 11 goals while conceding 15, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per match. At home, their record is slightly better, with 2 wins, 3 losses, and 5 draws in their last 10 games.

Recent results include a 2-0 win against Milan II and a 2-1 victory over Ascoli, but they’ve also suffered heavy defeats, such as a 5-0 loss to Ternana. Their inconsistency makes them a challenging team to predict.

Perugia

Perugia’s form has been equally inconsistent, with 2 wins, 3 losses, and 5 draws in their last 10 matches. They’ve scored 9 goals and conceded 10, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per game. Away from home, Perugia has managed only 1 win, 4 losses, and 5 draws in their last 10 outings.

Recent performances include a 1-0 win against Athletic Carpi and a 1-1 draw with Rimini. However, they’ve struggled to score consistently, with only 2 goals in their last 5 matches.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Lucchese and Perugia heavily favors Perugia. In their last three encounters, Perugia has dominated, winning 4-0 and 3-0 in their home games, while the away fixture ended in a 0-0 draw. Lucchese has failed to score in any of these matches, highlighting their struggles against Perugia.

Key Statistics

Lucchese:

  • Average goals scored per match: 1.1
  • Average goals conceded per match: 1.5
  • Over 2.5 goals in 50% of their last 10 games.

Perugia:

  • Average goals scored per match: 0.9
  • Average goals conceded per match: 1.0
  • Over 2.5 goals in 30% of their last 10 games.

Betting Tips and Odds

Match Result

Perugia is the slight favorite to win this match, with odds of 2.45 for an away win. Lucchese’s home advantage is offset by their poor head-to-head record against Perugia. A draw is also a plausible outcome, given both teams’ recent form.

Tip: Consider betting on Perugia Draw No Bet (DNB) at odds of 2.45 for a safer option.

Over/Under Goals

Given the low-scoring nature of both teams’ recent matches, betting on Under 2.5 Goals at odds of 1.80 could be a smart choice. Only 50% of Lucchese’s and 30% of Perugia’s last 10 games have seen over 2.5 goals.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

With Lucchese’s defensive vulnerabilities and Perugia’s struggles in front of goal, BTTS: No at odds of 1.90 is a viable option. Only 40% of Lucchese’s and 20% of Perugia’s last 10 games have seen both teams score.

Correct Score Prediction

A low-scoring draw seems likely, with a 0-0 or 1-1 scoreline being the most probable outcomes. Perugia’s defensive solidity and Lucchese’s inability to score in previous head-to-head matches support this prediction.

Expert Insights

  • Perugia’s Defensive Strength: Perugia has conceded fewer goals than Lucchese this season, making them a more reliable defensive unit.
  • Lucchese’s Home Struggles: Despite playing at home, Lucchese has won only 2 of their last 10 home games, which could be a significant disadvantage.
  • Head-to-Head Dominance: Perugia’s recent dominance in this fixture adds psychological pressure on Lucchese.

Conclusion

The Lucchese vs. Perugia match is likely to be a tightly contested affair, with both teams desperate for points. Perugia’s slight edge in form and head-to-head record makes them the favorites, but a draw cannot be ruled out. For bettors, focusing on low-scoring markets and Perugia’s Draw No Bet option could yield the best returns.

Stay tuned for more Serie C predictions and betting tips!

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