Leicester vs. Blackburn Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

Leicester vs. Blackburn Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

Posted on October 29, 2025 by in Football
Leicester vs. Blackburn Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

The King Power Stadium is set for a compelling Championship clash on Saturday, November 1, 2025, as Leicester City host Blackburn Rovers. This fixture pits a Foxes side seeking to rediscover their winning touch against a Rovers team desperate to climb out of the relegation zone. With both teams at a critical juncture early in the season, this match promises high stakes and intense drama. We’ve analyzed the stats, form, and betting markets to bring you a comprehensive preview and expert betting tips.

Match Overview and Team News

The Stakes at King Power Stadium

Leicester City enters this match in 10th place with 17 points from 12 matches, a position that belies their pre-season aspirations. Their campaign has been characterized by a frustrating number of draws, particularly at home where they are unbeaten but winless in their last three league outings. The Foxes have drawn 60% of their recent home matches, demonstrating resilience but also an inability to convert dominance into maximum points.

Meanwhile, Blackburn Rovers find themselves in a precarious 21st position with just 10 points from 11 games, hovering dangerously above the relegation places. Their form has been concerning, with four defeats in their last six Championship fixtures, though they do arrive with a morale-boosting 2-1 victory over Southampton in their previous match. Their away form offers little comfort, having failed to win in their last two league travels.

Team News: Lineups and Absences

Leicester City

Leicester manager Martí Cifuentes has a largely healthy squad to choose from, but faces some significant absentees. The most notable is midfielder Harry Winks, who is suspended for this encounter. In defense, Harry Souttar remains unavailable with an Achilles tendon rupture, while Ben Nelson is also sidelined with an unknown injury.

These absences will likely force a reshuffle, with Boubakary Soumaré expected to slot into midfield alongside Jordan James. Leicester typically employs a 4-2-3-1 formation that offers both stability and creative support for the lone striker.

Predicted Leicester Starting XI (4-2-3-1): Stolarczyk; Pereira, Faes, Vestergaard, Thomas; James, Soumaré; Fatawu, Ramsey, Monga; Carranza.

Blackburn Rovers

Blackburn manager Valérien Ismaël has no fresh injury concerns to contend with ahead of this trip. However, the team will be without defender Hayden Carter, who is recovering from knee surgery.

Rovers are expected to line up in a 3-4-1-2 system that provides defensive solidity while allowing for quick transitions. This formation has served them well in recent matches and is likely to be deployed again at the King Power Stadium.

Predicted Blackburn Starting XI (3-4-1-2): Tóth; Miller, Wharton, McLoughlin; Alebiosu, Tronstad, Gardner-Hickman, Hedges; Henriksson; Ohashi, Guðjohnsen.

Historical Head-to-Head Analysis

The history between these two clubs provides fascinating context for this Championship encounter. Over 13 recorded matches, both teams have been almost perfectly balanced, with Leicester winning 5 times and Blackburn also victorious on 5 occasions, with 3 matches ending in draws.

Recent Encounters

The most recent meeting between these sides offers a cautionary tale for Leicester. On May 4, 2024, Blackburn stunned Leicester with a 2-0 away victory at the King Power Stadium, despite the Foxes dominating possession with 75% and producing 14 total shots to Blackburn’s 9. That match was decided by the clinical finishing of Sammie Szmodics, who scored twice against the run of play.

Looking further back in their history:

  • October 1, 2023: Blackburn Rovers 1 – 4 Leicester City
  • February 28, 2023: Leicester City 1 – 2 Blackburn Rovers
  • September 5, 2020: The teams played to a 1-1 draw

Historical Trends

  • Goal Expectancy: Historical matches between these teams have averaged 2.31 goals per game.
  • BTTS Frequency: Both teams have scored in 71% of their last seven encounters.
  • Home Advantage: Leicester have won three of the last six Championship encounters against Blackburn.

Current Form and Statistical Deep Dive

Leicester City’s Form Analysis

Leicester’s season has been a story of solid defense but struggling attack, particularly at home. Let’s examine their key statistical trends:

Table: Leicester City Statistical Profile (2025 Season)

Metric Overall Home Trend
Position 10th
Points 17
Avg Goals Scored 1.25 1.00 Decreasing
Avg Goals Conceded 1.00 0.67 Excellent
Clean Sheets 23% 40% Solid
BTTS Rate 67% 60% High
Possession 57.67% 61% Dominant

Leicester’s home form reveals a team that is difficult to beat but struggles to turn draws into wins. They are currently on a 7-match unbeaten streak at home in all competitions, though they’ve drawn five of these encounters. Their defensive record at the King Power Stadium is impressive, conceding just 0.60 goals on average in home matches.

In their last six matches across all competitions, Leicester’s record reads: just 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses, scoring an average of 1.17 goals while conceding the same. This inconsistency has prevented them from mounting a serious promotion challenge thus far.

Blackburn Rovers’ Form Analysis

Blackburn’s statistical profile paints a picture of a team struggling at both ends of the pitch, particularly away from home:

Table: Blackburn Rovers Statistical Profile (2025 Season)

Metric Overall Away Trend
Position 21st
Points 10
Avg Goals Scored 0.91 0.33 Poor
Avg Goals Conceded 1.55 1.67 Concerning
Clean Sheets 17% 20% Limited
BTTS Rate 45% 40% Moderate
Possession 51% Likely Lower Competitive

Rovers’ away form is particularly alarming, with the team failing to score in their last two away league games and managing just 0.33 goals per game on their travels this season. Defensively, they’ve been more vulnerable away from Ewood Park, conceding 1.67 goals per away match.

In their last six Championship outings, Blackburn have managed just 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 defeats, scoring a paltry 0.83 goals per game while conceding 2.00. This miserable run has seen them slip into the relegation conversation early in the season.

Tactical Matchup and Key Battles

The tactical duel between these sides will be fascinating. Leicester’s preference for a possession-based game (averaging 57.67% possession overall and 61% at home) will likely see them control the ball for large periods. Blackburn’s more direct approach in their 3-4-1-2 system will focus on exploiting transitions and set-piece opportunities.

Key battles to watch:

  • Leicester’s possession game vs Blackburn’s defensive discipline: Can Rovers’ back three withstand sustained pressure?
  • Wide areas: Leicester’s attacking fullbacks against Blackburn’s wing-backs.
  • Midfield control: With Winks absent, can Soumaré and James dictate tempo against Tronstad and Gardner-Hickman?

Betting Odds and Market Analysis

Match Result Odds

Current bookmaker odds firmly position Leicester as the home favorites, reflecting their superior league position and strong home record:

  • Leicester City Win: @ 1.71 to 1.73
  • Draw: @ 4.00
  • Blackburn Rovers Win: @ 4.33

The pricing for a Leicester victory represents an implied probability of approximately 58%, which aligns with their undefeated home record and Blackburn’s struggles on the road.

Goals Markets

The goals markets present interesting opportunities given both teams’ recent trends:

  • Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Over @ 2.00 (1/1), Under @ 1.83 (5/6)
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes @ 1.95 (19/20), No @ 1.86 (6/7)

The statistics present a conflicting picture for goals markets. While historical head-to-head matches have seen over 2.5 goals in 71% of the last seven encounters, Leicester’s recent home games tell a different story – their last four home matches in all competitions have featured under 2.5 goals.

Alternative Betting Markets

For those looking beyond the standard markets, several interesting options are available:

  • Correct Score: Leicester 2-0 @ 8.50, Leicester 1-0 @ 7.00, Leicester 2-1 @ 9.00
  • Goalscorer Markets: Patson Daka (if he plays) @ 2.63
  • Total Corners: 9-11 @ 2.60

Prediction and Betting Tips

After thoroughly examining the teams’ current form, historical data, tactical setups, and available betting markets, several clear patterns emerge that inform our predictions.

Leicester City’s strength at home, where they remain undefeated in seven straight matches across all competitions, cannot be overlooked. While they’ve drawn many of these games, they face a Blackburn side with significant offensive struggles, particularly away from home. Leicester’s defensive solidity at the King Power Stadium – conceding just 0.60 goals on average – suggests they can keep a clean sheet against a Blackburn attack that has failed to score in their last two away league games.

Blackburn’s recent victory over Southampton may provide a confidence boost, but their overall away form and defensive vulnerabilities (conceding 1.67 goals per away match) make it difficult to see them taking all three points at the King Power Stadium.

Our Expert Predictions

Match Result: Leicester City to Win (Confidence: Medium-High)

  • Reasoning: Despite their draw tendencies, Leicester’s home advantage and defensive stability should prove decisive against a struggling Blackburn side. The Foxes’ superior quality and possession-based game will likely wear down Rovers over 90 minutes.
  • Best Odds: @ 1.71

Both Teams to Score: No (Confidence: Medium)

  • Reasoning: With Blackburn’s away scoring struggles (0.33 goals per game) and Leicester’s strong home defensive record (0.60 goals conceded on average), a clean sheet for the home side appears more likely than both teams scoring.
  • Best Odds: @ 1.86 (6/7)

Total Goals: Under 2.5 (Confidence: Medium)

  • Reasoning: Leicester’s recent home matches have been low-scoring (under 2.5 goals in their last four home games), and with Blackburn’s attacking woes, a cagey, low-scoring affair seems probable.
  • Best Odds: @ 1.83 (5/6)

Correct Score: Leicester 2-0 (Confidence: Low-Medium)

  • Reasoning: This scoreline reflects Leicester’s home dominance and Blackburn’s scoring difficulties on the road. The predicted 2-0 victory also aligns with Forebet’s statistical model.
  • Best Odds: @ 8.50

Alternative Betting Suggestions

For those seeking different angles or higher odds:

  • Halftime/Fulltime: Draw/Leicester @ 4.50 – Reflects Leicester’s tendency for slow starts at home but stronger finishes.
  • Leicester to Win to Nil @ 2.75 – Combines the win prediction with the BTTS “No” recommendation.
  • Under 1.5 Goals @ 3.25 – A higher-risk option given the low-scoring trends of both teams.

How to Watch the Match

Broadcast Information

The Leicester City vs Blackburn Rovers Championship match will be available across various platforms globally:

  • United Kingdom: Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Ultra HDR, Sky Sports Main Event
  • United States: Paramount+, CBSSN, Fubo Sports
  • Canada: DAZN, CBSSN
  • Australia: beIN SPORTS 2, beIN Sports Connect, Amazon Prime Video
  • Global Stream: Bet365 offers streaming in numerous territories (registration required)

Match Details

  • Date: Saturday, November 1, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 UTC
  • Venue: King Power Stadium, Leicester
  • Weather: Expected to be around 12-13°C with partly cloudy conditions

Conclusion

The Championship clash between Leicester City and Blackburn Rovers presents a classic “form versus opportunity” scenario. Leicester, despite their recent draw habit, are strong favorites given their home advantage and Blackburn’s away struggles. Our analysis suggests a Leicester victory with a clean sheet is the most probable outcome, likely by a 2-0 scoreline.

For bettors, the most confident plays appear to be:

  1. Leicester City to Win @ 1.71
  2. Both Teams to Score: No @ 1.86
  3. Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.83

While football always reserves the capacity for surprises, the statistical evidence and current form strongly point toward a controlled Leicester victory that could see them begin to turn their season’s promise into tangible results.

Please remember to gamble responsibly. Only bet what you can afford to lose, and ensure you are fully aware of the terms and conditions of any betting site you use. Odds are subject to change and may differ from those quoted in this article.

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