Hull vs. Portsmouth Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

Posted on November 5, 2025 by author in Football

The Championship season continues with an intriguing clash as Hull City welcomes Portsmouth to the MKM Stadium on Saturday, November 8th. This fixture pits a Hull side looking to maintain their positive home form against a Portsmouth team seeking to improve their fortunes on the road. With both clubs aiming to climb the Championship table, this match promises plenty of drama and excitement. In this comprehensive preview, we analyze the teams’ current form, historical head-to-head records, and provide expert betting insights to guide your predictions.

Match Overview

Competition: EFL Championship
Date: Saturday, November 8, 2025
Kick-off Time: 12:30 UTC
Venue: MKM Stadium, Hull
Broadcast: Sky Sports+ Plus (UK and Ireland Republic)

Current Team Analysis

Hull City Form and Strengths

Hull City enters this fixture with impressive recent form, particularly at the MKM Stadium where they’ve been formidable. Under manager Sergej Jakirović, The Tigers have developed into a well-organized unit that’s difficult to beat at home.

Recent Performance Highlights:

Hull City is currently undefeated in their previous 5 home league matches
They’ve scored in each of their last 6 matches, netting 11 goals during that period
In their last 5 matches across competitions, Hull has won 3, drawn 1, and lost 1

The Tigers have shown offensive consistency, finding the back of the net in every game they’ve played in their last six outings. This attacking prowess, combined with their solid home defensive record, makes them a formidable opponent for any visiting team.

Key attacking threat Oli McBurnie has been instrumental this season, having already scored 6 league goals in 10 Championship appearances. His physical presence and finishing ability will be crucial against Portsmouth’s defense.

From a team news perspective, Hull City has a significant advantage with manager Sergej Jakirović reporting no injury concerns whatsoever, giving him a full squad to select from.

Portsmouth Form and Challenges

Portsmouth arrives at the MKM Stadium looking to reverse some concerning trends, particularly their form away from home. Under manager John Mousinho, Pompey have struggled to consistently pick up points on their travels.

Recent Performance Concerns:

Portsmouth is without a win away from home in their last 5 league matches
They’ve been scored against in 5 of their last 6 games, conceding 10 goals during that span
Their recent form across the last 5 matches shows 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

Defensive issues have plagued Portsmouth recently, with the team conceding goals at an alarming rate. This vulnerability at the back will be a significant concern when facing Hull’s in-form attack.

Like their opponents, Portsmouth also has no injury worries coming into this clash, giving manager John Mousinho full flexibility in his team selection.

Head-to-Head Historical Analysis

The historical record between these two clubs reveals a remarkably balanced rivalry that could play into the tactical approach of both teams.

Historical Head-to-Head Record:

In meetings dating back to 2011, Hull City has won 2 matches, Portsmouth has won 2, with 2 ending as draws
The average goals per game in their encounters is 2.17, with 13 total goals scored (7 by Hull, 6 by Portsmouth)
In their last 12 meetings overall, Hull has won 3 times, there have been 5 draws, and Portsmouth has won 4 times

Recent Encounters:
The most recent match between these sides ended in a 1-1 draw at Portsmouth’s Fratton Park on May 3rd, 2025. In that contest:

Portsmouth dominated possession with 64% and had 11 attempts on goal
Hull City proved efficient with 4 of their 10 shots on target
The scorers were Matt Crooks for Hull City and Christian Saydee for Portsmouth

At the MKM Stadium, Hull City haven’t been beaten in the league by Portsmouth in their previous 3 matches, though they are winless against them in their last 2 league games.

Tactical Analysis and Key Battles

Hull City’s Expected Approach

Hull will likely look to control the game through possession and utilize their strong home record to impose themselves on Portsmouth. With Oli McBurnie as the focal point in attack, they’ll aim to service him with quality crosses and through balls. Their unbeaten home streak will give them confidence to play on the front foot.

Portsmouth’s Likely Strategy

Given their struggles away from home, Portsmouth may adopt a more cautious approach, looking to stay compact defensively and hit Hull on the counter-attack. They’ll need to address their recent defensive vulnerabilities while capitalizing on any scoring opportunities that come their way.

Key Matchups to Watch

Oli McBurnie vs Portsmouth’s Center-Backs: McBurnie’s physicality and goal threat will test Portsmouth’s defensive line throughout the match.
Midfield Battle: The engine room contest between players like Matt Crooks for Hull and Marlon Pack for Portsmouth could determine which team controls the tempo.
Wide Areas: Both teams will look to create chances from wide positions, making the defensive work of wing-backs and full-backs crucial.

Betting Tips and Predictions

Match Result Predictions

Most analysts and prediction models give Hull City a slight edge in this fixture, primarily due to their strong home form and Portsmouth’s struggles on the road.

Footballpredictions.net: Predicts a Hull City victory with a 1-0 scoreline
Sportskeeda: Forecasts a 1-2 away win for Hull City in their previous encounter analysis
BetClan: Gives Hull a 45% probability of winning compared to Portsmouth’s 31%
Windrawwin.com: In their analysis of the previous fixture, gave Portsmouth a 56% probability of winning at home

The consensus suggests that Hull City’s home advantage and recent form make them favorites, but Portsmouth’s ability to secure draws cannot be underestimated.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Opinion is divided on whether both teams will find the net:

Footballpredictions.com suggests “Yes” for Both Teams To Score in their betting tips
BetClan also recommends “Yes” for BTTS with a 57% probability
However, Windrawwin.com predicted both teams not to score in the reverse fixture

Given that Hull has scored in their last 6 matches and Portsmouth has been scored against in 5 of their last 6 , the evidence leans toward both teams finding the net.

Goal Expectation (Over/Under)

The goal market presents interesting opportunities for bettors:

Footballpredictions.net predicts Under 2.5 goals
Footballpredictions.com suggests Over 2.5 Goals as one of their betting tips
Oddspedia models give a 59.2% probability for Under 2.5 goals

Historical data shows these matches average 2.17 goals , suggesting that Under 2.5 goals might be the more likely outcome.

Alternative Betting Markets

For those looking beyond the standard markets, consider these options:

Correct Score: 1-0 to Hull City or 1-1 draw are plausible outcomes
Anytime Goalscorer: Oli McBurnie (Hull) represents good value given his scoring record
Player to be Carded: Marlon Pack (Portsmouth) has been identified as a potential booking candidate
Total Corners: The corner market could see 9-11 total corners or Under 10.5 corners

Final Prediction and Recommended Bets

Based on comprehensive analysis of both teams’ current form, historical head-to-head records, and tactical considerations, our prediction for this Championship clash is:

Hull City 1-0 Portsmouth

Recommended Bets:

Match Result: Hull City to Win
Total Goals: Under 2.5
Both Teams to Score: No

Reasoning:

Hull City’s strong home form (undefeated in 5 home league matches) , combined with Portsmouth’s struggles away from home (winless in 5 away league games) , suggests the hosts have the advantage. While Portsmouth will put up a fight, Hull’s defensive solidity at home and ability to score consistently gives them the edge in what will likely be a tightly-contested match with limited goals.

Conclusion

The Championship clash between Hull City and Portsmouth at MKM Stadium promises to be an engaging tactical battle. Hull will look to extend their impressive home form, while Portsmouth aims to reverse their fortunes on the road. With both managers having full squads available, team selection and in-game tactics will be crucial factors in determining the outcome.

For bettors, the most promising approaches appear to be backing a narrow Hull City victory with under 2.5 goals, though the close historical record between these sides means a draw wouldn’t be surprising. Whatever the outcome, this fixture represents another fascinating chapter in the grueling Championship season.

Disclaimer: Please gamble responsibly. Only bet what you can afford to lose, and ensure gambling remains a fun activity, not a solution to financial problems. All odds are subject to change and should be verified at the time of placing bets.