Girona vs. Mallorca: Prediction, Betting Tips

Posted on May 4, 2025 by author in Football

As La Liga 2024-25 season nears its conclusion, the clash between Girona and Mallorca on May 5, 2025, at Estadi Montilivi is set to be a pivotal encounter. Both teams have had contrasting seasons, with Girona fighting to avoid relegation and Mallorca aiming for a potential European spot. This article delves into the prediction, betting tips, analysis, and statistics for this crucial match.

Team Form and Recent Performances

Girona’s Struggles: Girona has had a challenging season, currently sitting 16th in the La Liga table with 35 points from 33 matches. Their recent form has been concerning, with no wins in their last five league games, including a 1-1 draw against Leganes. Despite their struggles, Girona’s home form offers some hope, having secured 21 points from 16 home matches.

Mallorca’s Mixed Campaign: Mallorca, on the other hand, is in 10th place with 44 points. They have had a mixed campaign, with only one win in their last five league games. Their recent performances include a narrow 1-0 defeat to Barcelona and a 1-1 draw with Leganes. Mallorca’s away form has been decent, with 20 points from 16 away matches.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Girona and Mallorca shows a competitive rivalry. In their last 16 matches, Girona has won 5 times, Mallorca 7 times, and 4 matches ended in a draw. The most recent encounter saw Mallorca win 2-1 earlier this season.

Key Players to Watch

Girona:

Christian Stuani: The veteran striker has been crucial for Girona, scoring twice in his last four appearances. His experience and goal-scoring ability will be vital for Girona’s survival hopes.
Yangel Herrera: The midfielder has been a key player for Girona, contributing significantly in both defense and attack.

Mallorca:

Sergi Darder: The creative midfielder has been instrumental for Mallorca, with a goal and two assists in his last five matches. His vision and playmaking skills will be crucial for Mallorca’s chances.
Vedat Muriqi: The forward has been a consistent performer for Mallorca, providing a physical presence in the attack.

Tactical Analysis

Both teams have predominantly used the 4-2-3-1 formation this season, focusing on a balance between possession and defensive solidity. Girona’s high shot volume (53 attempts in their last five matches) indicates their intention to control the game and create scoring opportunities. However, their inefficiency in converting these chances has been a concern, with only three goals from these attempts.

Mallorca, under Jagoba Arrasate, has focused on a compact and hard-running midfield, often relying on quick transitions and set-pieces. Their average possession of 44% and limited attacking output (29 shots in five matches) highlight their pragmatic approach.

Betting Tips and Odds

Prediction: Given Girona’s home advantage and their need for points to avoid relegation, a narrow victory for Girona seems likely. Despite their recent struggles, Girona’s shot volume and home form make them slight favorites.

Betting Tips:

Girona to Win: With odds of 2.08 for a Girona victory, this bet offers good value considering their home advantage and recent head-to-head record.
Both Teams to Score – No: Given the defensive approaches of both teams, betting on both teams not to score at odds of 1.71 is a sensible option.
Under 2.5 Goals: With both teams struggling to score consistently, betting on under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.57 is a safe bet.

Statistical Insights

Girona’s Statistics:

Goals Scored: 1.21 per match
Goals Conceded: 1.58 per match
Clean Sheets: 18%
Both Teams to Score: 58%

Mallorca’s Statistics:

Goals Scored: 0.94 per match
Goals Conceded: 1.15 per match
Clean Sheets: 24%
Both Teams to Score: 48%

Conclusion

The Girona vs. Mallorca match promises to be an intriguing contest with significant implications for both teams. Girona’s fight for survival and Mallorca’s quest for a European spot add extra spice to this encounter. With key players like Christian Stuani and Sergi Darder in the spotlight, fans can expect a tactical battle at Estadi Montilivi. Betting on a narrow Girona victory, both teams not to score, and under 2.5 goals are sensible options based on the analysis and statistics.

Whether you’re a fan of Girona, Mallorca, or just a football enthusiast, this match is set to provide plenty of excitement and drama. Make sure to tune in and enjoy the action!