Norway vs England 3rd quarter final match Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

Last Updated on July 8, 2026 by author
The FIFA World Cup 2026 quarter-finals deliver one of the tournament’s most fascinating clashes as Norway take on England on Saturday, 11 July 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 22:00 GMT. The winner will secure a coveted place in the semi-finals, while the loser will see their dream of lifting football’s biggest trophy come to an end.
England arrive as slight favourites after an unbeaten tournament, but Norway have already stunned Brazil in the Round of 16 and will be full of confidence. Led by Erling Haaland and Martin Ødegaard, the Scandinavian side possesses enough attacking quality to trouble any defence. England, meanwhile, continue to rely on the experience of Harry Kane, Jude Bellingham, and a balanced squad under Thomas Tuchel.
Match Information
- Match: Norway vs England
- Competition: FIFA World Cup 2026 – Quarter-final
- Date: Saturday, 11 July 2026
- Kick-off: 22:00 GMT
- Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens
Norway vs England Match Preview
Norway have become the surprise package of the tournament. Few expected them to eliminate Brazil, but a disciplined tactical display combined with Erling Haaland’s clinical finishing earned them a memorable 2-1 victory. Norway also defeated Ivory Coast in the previous knockout round and have scored in every World Cup match so far.
England, however, have looked increasingly comfortable as the tournament has progressed. After finishing top of their group, the Three Lions defeated DR Congo before edging hosts Mexico 3-2 in an entertaining Round of 16 encounter. Thomas Tuchel’s team remain unbeaten and possess greater tournament experience than their opponents.
This quarter-final promises goals, intensity, and tactical battles across the pitch.
Current Form
Norway Last Five Matches
- Win vs Brazil (2-1)
- Win vs Ivory Coast (2-1)
- Loss vs France
- Win vs Iraq
- Win vs Senegal
Norway have won four of their last five matches while averaging more than two goals per game. However, they have also conceded regularly, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
England Last Five Matches
- Win vs Mexico (3-2)
- Win vs DR Congo (2-1)
- Draw vs Ghana
- Win vs Croatia
- Win vs Panama
England remain unbeaten during the tournament, combining defensive organisation with efficient attacking football.
Head-to-Head Record
Competitive meetings between Norway and England have been extremely limited, making this World Cup quarter-final an intriguing tactical contest rather than one shaped by historical rivalry. Both nations possess talented squads, but England’s experience at major tournaments gives them a psychological advantage.
Team News
Norway
Manager Ståle Solbakken will once again build his side around Erling Haaland, who has emerged as one of the tournament’s standout performers. Martin Ødegaard remains the creative heartbeat in midfield.
Norway have also dealt with illness affecting parts of the squad during the tournament, although the coaching staff remain optimistic that key players will be available for Saturday’s match.
England
England may need to adjust defensively following suspension concerns, but Harry Kane continues to lead the attack brilliantly while Jude Bellingham has dominated midfield throughout the tournament.
Thomas Tuchel is expected to keep faith with his attacking approach despite Norway’s counter-attacking threat.
Predicted Lineups
Norway (4-3-3)
- Nyland
- Ryerson
- Ajer
- Heggem
- Wolfe
- Berge
- Berg
- Ødegaard
- Nusa
- Haaland
- Sørloth
England (4-2-3-1)
- Pickford
- Walker
- Stones
- Guehi
- Shaw
- Rice
- Bellingham
- Saka
- Foden
- Gordon
- Kane
Norway vs England Odds
Most major bookmakers currently price England as favourites.
- England Win: 1.90–1.95
- Draw: 3.50–3.70
- Norway Win: 3.80–4.20
England are also favourites in the “To Qualify” market thanks to their superior squad depth and tournament experience.
Betting Analysis
This game offers several attractive betting opportunities.
England have consistently produced chances throughout the tournament, while Norway have scored in every World Cup fixture. With Haaland facing Kane in one of the tournament’s marquee striker battles, goals appear likely.
Norway’s aggressive style creates opportunities but also leaves space behind their defence. England’s midfield quality, particularly through Jude Bellingham, could prove decisive in controlling possession and creating chances.
Best Betting Tips
After evaluating recent form, squad quality, and current betting markets, these are the strongest selections for the quarter-final.
- England to Win ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆
England are slight favourites with most bookmakers after their impressive performances throughout the tournament. Their balanced squad, greater depth, and experience in knockout football make them the stronger side on paper. Current markets price England around 1.90 (-110 to -115) to win in 90 minutes.
- Both Teams to Score – Yes
This looks one of the best value bets.
Norway have scored in every World Cup match so far, largely thanks to Erling Haaland’s outstanding finishing. England have also scored multiple goals in recent knockout matches, making BTTS an attractive option.
- Over 2.5 Goals
Both teams possess elite attacking talent, and recent knockout games involving England and Norway have produced entertaining, high-scoring contests. A total of three or more goals is a realistic expectation.
- Harry Kane Anytime Goalscorer
Harry Kane continues to deliver on the biggest stage and remains England’s primary penalty taker and focal point in attack. His movement inside the penalty area makes him one of the strongest anytime goalscorer selections.
- Erling Haaland Anytime Goalscorer
Haaland has been among the tournament’s leading scorers and is capable of scoring against any defence. Even if Norway lose, he has every chance of finding the net again.
Tactical Battle
The biggest storyline is the duel between England’s experienced defence and Erling Haaland.
Norway will likely defend in a compact shape before launching quick counter-attacks through Martin Ødegaard’s passing and Haaland’s pace. England are expected to dominate possession, using Jude Bellingham and Declan Rice to control midfield while Bukayo Saka and Phil Foden stretch Norway’s back line.
England’s superior squad depth could prove decisive if the match goes into the later stages, especially if extra time becomes necessary.
Key Players to Watch
England
- Harry Kane
- Jude Bellingham
- Bukayo Saka
- Phil Foden
- Declan Rice
Norway
- Erling Haaland
- Martin Ødegaard
- Alexander Sørloth
- Sander Berge
- Antonio Nusa
Score Prediction
Norway have exceeded expectations by eliminating Brazil, but England possess greater balance across the pitch and more experience in major knockout matches. Haaland should create problems, yet England’s quality in midfield and attack gives them the edge.
Predicted Score: Norway 1-2 England
Recommended Bets
| Market | Pick |
| Full-Time Result | England Win |
| Double Chance | England or Draw |
| Goals | Over 2.5 Goals |
| BTTS | Yes |
| Anytime Goalscorer | Harry Kane |
| Anytime Goalscorer | Erling Haaland |
| Correct Score | England 2-1 |
Betting Verdict
England deserve to be favourites, but this is unlikely to be a comfortable victory. Norway have become one of the tournament’s surprise packages and arrive with confidence after their upset over Brazil. Erling Haaland’s finishing means England cannot afford defensive mistakes, while reports of illness affecting parts of the Norway squad could influence the contest if key players are not fully fit.
The most attractive betting angles are England to Win, Both Teams to Score, and Over 2.5 Goals. For higher odds, England to win 2-1 or a Kane anytime goalscorer bet provide appealing value. Market consensus continues to favour England to progress, with most sportsbooks making them the stronger side ahead of kickoff.
FAQs
Who is favourite to win Norway vs England?
England are the bookmakers’ favourites due to their unbeaten tournament run, greater squad depth, and extensive knockout-stage experience.
What is the best betting tip?
England to Win is the safest selection, while Both Teams to Score offers strong value given the attacking quality of both teams.
What is the predicted score?
Norway 1-2 England.
Which player is most likely to score?
Harry Kane and Erling Haaland are the standout anytime goalscorer selections based on current form.
Responsible Gambling: Betting should be for entertainment only. Never wager more than you can afford to lose, and gamble responsibly.
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