Hibernian vs Celtic Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

Last Updated on February 24, 2026 by author

A pivotal Scottish Premiership clash is on the horizon as Hibernian prepares to host the mighty Celtic at Easter Road on November 30, 2025. This match promises high stakes, intense drama, and significant implications for the league table. With Celtic looking to solidify their title challenge and Hibernian aiming to prove their top-three credentials, this fixture is not to be missed. Here’s our comprehensive preview, complete with expert predictions, statistical analysis, and data-driven betting tips.

Match Overview and Team News

The stage is set for a thrilling encounter in Edinburgh this weekend. Third-placed Hibernian, with 21 points from 13 matches, will face a formidable test against second-placed Celtic, who have amassed 26 points from just 12 games. With only five points separating them in the standings, this matchup could prove crucial in the early-season battle for supremacy.

Current Form and Standings

Table based on current Premiership standings.

Team News and Predicted Lineups

Hibernian will be forced to make at least one key change, with J. Neves Filipe sidelined until January 2026 due to a cruciate ligament injury. Despite this setback, they boast a resilient squad that has remained undefeated in five of their last six league matches.

Celtic, meanwhile, will be without the influential Jota due to a long-term injury, though their squad depth remains impressive.

Based on recent lineups and availability, the projected starting elevens are likely to be :

• Hibernian: Sallinger (GK); Bushiri, Hanley, Iredale; Barlaser, Mulligan, McGrath, Cadden; Boyle, Bowie, Klidje
• Celtic: Schmeichel (GK); Ralston, Trusty, Scales, Saracchi; Engels, McGregor, Hatate; Maeda, Kenny, Tounekti

Head-to-Head (H2H) History and Analysis

The historical record between these two clubs tells a story of Celtic dominance, though Hibernian has occasionally risen to the occasion to cause upsets.

Historical Dominance

The numbers reveal Celtic’s clear superiority in this fixture. Of the 91 recorded matches between these sides, Celtic have emerged victorious in 57 matches (62.64%), while Hibernian have won just 12 (13.19%), with 22 games ending in draws (24.18%).

• Total Goals: Celtic have scored 191 goals compared to Hibernian’s 82 in these encounters.
• Goal Average: Direct matches average 3.00 goals per game.
• Recent Trend: The most recent encounter between these teams ended in a goalless draw, continuing a recent trend of lower-scoring affairs with Under 2.5 goals in the last three consecutive head-to-head matches.

Statistical Analysis and Key Metrics

A deeper dive into the performance metrics of both teams reveals fascinating strengths and weaknesses that could determine the outcome of this match.

offensive and defensive Statistics

Data compiled from season statistics.

Home vs. Away Form Analysis

Hibernian’s performance at Easter Road shows both promise and inconsistency. While they’ve won 55% of their last 20 home games across all competitions, a run of draws—50% in their last 10 league home fixtures—hints at dropped points from winnable positions. Their home games are typically high-scoring, with Over 2.5 goals occurring in 70% of their last 10 home matches.

Celtic’s away form presents an interesting dichotomy. While they’ve lost 50% of their last six away fixtures, a longer view reveals they’ve remained undefeated in 12 of their last 15 away Premiership matches. Defensively, they’ve been exceptional on the road, keeping clean sheets in 43% of their last 40 away matches across all competitions.

betting Odds and Probability Breakdown

For those looking to add an extra layer of excitement to this match, here’s a comprehensive look at the betting markets and value opportunities.

Match Result Odds

Based on odds aggregated from multiple sportsbooks, the probabilities for each outcome are :

• Hibernian Win: Odds range from 4.50 to 4.90 (Implied Probability: 20-22%)
• Draw: Odds range from 3.85 to 4.20 (Implied Probability: 24-26%)
• Celtic Win: Odds range from 1.61 to 1.68 (Implied Probability: 56-62%)

These odds align with the probability models from Forebet, which gives Celtic a 42% chance of victory, compared to 23% for a draw and 17% for a Hibernian win.

Alternative Betting Markets

Beyond the simple match outcome, several other markets present interesting opportunities:

• Both Teams to Score (BTTS): “Yes” is priced at approximately 1.67, while “No” sits around 2.10.
• Over/Under 2.5 Goals: The odds for Over 2.5 goals are around 1.67, with Under 2.5 at 2.10.
• Alternative Lines: For a safer approach, Celtic -0.5 (Asian Handicap) offers lower risk, while Celtic -1.5 provides higher potential returns.

Prediction and betting tips

Based on our comprehensive analysis of current form, historical data, team news, and statistical trends, here are our expert predictions and recommended wagers for this fixture.

Final Score Prediction: Hibernian 0-2 Celtic 

Our prediction model leans strongly toward a Celtic victory, likely with a clean sheet. This is supported by several key factors:

• Celtic’s exceptional defensive record, having conceded only 8 goals in 12 league matches this season
• Their impressive clean sheet rate of 52% this season
• Hibernian’s occasional struggles to break down disciplined defenses at Easter Road

Recommended betting tips

1. Match Result: Celtic to Win (@ 1.68) : Celtic’s overall quality, superior defensive organization, and historical dominance in this fixture make them the clear favorites. Their ability to control possession (averaging 65%) should allow them to dictate the tempo and create scoring opportunities while limiting Hibernian’s chances.
2. Both Teams to Score: No (@ 2.10) : With Celtic’s impressive defensive record and Hibernian’s potential struggles without key attacker J. Neves Filipe, we anticipate the visitors keeping a clean sheet. This is further supported by the fact that both teams failed to score in their last three head-to-head encounters.
3. Total Goals: Under 2.5 (@ 2.10) : While this contradicts Hibernian’s general home trend, Celtic’s recent away games have seen Under 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 10 matches. Additionally, the last three H2H matches have all featured Under 2.5 goals , suggesting a tactical, tightly-contested affair.
4. Alternative Tip: Over 8.5 Total Corners (@ 1.72 approximate): This presents excellent value given that Hibernian’s home games have seen Over 8.5 corners in 90% of their last 10 matches, while Celtic’s away games have hit this mark in 70% of their last 10 fixtures.

Tactical Analysis and Key Battles

The outcome of this match will likely be determined in key areas of the pitch where individual battles could prove decisive.

Midfield Control

The clash between Celtic captain Callum McGregor and Hibernian’s Jamie McGrath will be pivotal. McGregor’s ability to dictate tempo and distribute the ball (with Celtic averaging 87% pass accuracy) could overwhelm Hibernian’s midfield. Whichever team controls this area will likely control the match.

Wide Areas

Hibernian’s Martin Boyle will look to exploit any space behind Celtic’s full-backs, particularly if they push high up the pitch. His pace and direct running could be Hibs’ most potent weapon against Celtic’s organized defense.

Defensive Solidity vs. Attacking Flair

Celtic’s central defensive partnership of Auston Trusty and Liam Scales will need to be vigilant against Hibernian’s varied attacking threats. Their ability to maintain defensive discipline while contributing to build-up play will be crucial to Celtic’s game plan.

Conclusion

The upcoming clash between Hibernian and Celtic at Easter Road promises to be a compelling tactical battle between a resilient home side and a dominant force from Glasgow. While Hibernian’s improved form and home advantage shouldn’t be underestimated, Celtic’s defensive solidity, historical dominance, and overall quality make them the clear favorites to emerge with all three points.

Our predictive model strongly suggests a 0-2 victory for the visitors, with Celtic’s defensive organization likely proving too difficult for Hibernian to break down. The recommended betting tips reflect this analysis, focusing on Celtic’s ability to win while keeping a clean sheet in what may be a lower-scoring affair than many anticipate.

As always, we encourage responsible betting and remind readers that while statistics and analysis inform predictions, the beautiful game always has capacity for surprises. Enjoy what promises to be a fascinating chapter in this Scottish Premiership rivalry.

Disclaimer: Please gamble responsibly. These predictions are based on statistical analysis and expert opinion, but there are no guarantees in sports betting. Only wager what you can afford to lose.