Everton vs. Ipswich Prediction, Betting Tips

Posted on April 30, 2025 by author in Football

As the Premier League season draws to a close, Everton and Ipswich Town are set to face off in a crucial match at Goodison Park on May 3, 2025. This encounter promises to be an exciting clash, with Everton looking to secure a mid-table finish and Ipswich fighting to avoid relegation. In this article, we will delve into the predictions, betting tips, analysis, and statistics for this match, providing you with all the information you need to make informed betting decisions.

Team Form and Recent Performances

Everton

Everton’s season has been a rollercoaster, with moments of brilliance interspersed with periods of inconsistency. Under the management of David Moyes, the Toffees have shown resilience, especially at home. However, their recent form has been less than stellar, with only one win in their last nine matches. Key injuries to players like Dominic Calvert-Lewin and James Tarkowski have also hampered their progress.

Ipswich Town

Ipswich Town, on the other hand, has had a challenging season. After earning back-to-back promotions to the Premier League, the Tractor Boys have struggled to find their footing in the top flight. With only four wins in 34 matches, Ipswich is already relegated and will be playing for pride in this fixture. Their recent form includes heavy defeats to Newcastle and Arsenal, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The head-to-head record between Everton and Ipswich Town is limited, with their last encounter resulting in a 2-0 victory for Everton earlier this season. Historically, Everton has had the upper hand in this fixture, and they will be looking to continue this trend at Goodison Park.

Key Players to Watch

Everton

Jordan Pickford: The England international goalkeeper has been a reliable presence between the sticks for Everton. His shot-stopping abilities and leadership will be crucial in this match.
Abdoulaye Doucoure: The midfielder has been a standout performer for Everton, providing energy and drive in the middle of the park.
Armando Broja: The young striker, on loan from Chelsea, has shown glimpses of his potential and will be eager to make an impact.

Ipswich Town

Sam Morsy: The captain and midfielder is a key player for Ipswich, known for his tenacity and ability to break up play.
Liam Delap: The young forward, on loan from Manchester City, has been one of the few bright spots for Ipswich this season.

Betting Tips and Analysis

Match Outcome

Based on current form and historical data, Everton is the clear favorite to win this match. The Toffees have a 59.2% chance of securing a victory, while Ipswich has a 17.7% chance of winning, and the probability of a draw stands at 23.1%. Given Ipswich’s defensive frailties and Everton’s home advantage, betting on an Everton win seems a prudent choice.

Goals Market

The over/under market for total goals scored is set at 2.5. Given Ipswich’s poor defensive record, with 34 goals conceded in their away matches, and Everton’s struggles in front of goal, betting on under 2.5 goals could be a viable option. The odds for under 2.5 goals are currently at $1.91.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Considering Ipswich’s tendency to concede and Everton’s inconsistent attacking form, the BTTS market is intriguing. Ipswich has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 16 matches, while Everton has managed to score in most of their home games. Betting on both teams to score could offer good value.

Betting Odds

The latest betting odds for this match are as follows:

Everton to win: $1.53
Ipswich to win: $6.00
Draw: $4.10

These odds reflect Everton’s status as favorites, but there is potential value in betting on a draw, given the unpredictable nature of end-of-season fixtures.

Statistical Analysis

Expected Goals (xG)

Expected Goals (xG) is a valuable metric for assessing the quality of chances created and conceded by teams. Everton’s xG for this season stands at 1.26 per game, while their xGA (expected goals against) is 1.51. Ipswich, on the other hand, has an xG of 1.10 and an xGA of 1.82. These statistics highlight Everton’s slight edge in creating quality chances and Ipswich’s defensive vulnerabilities.

Possession and Passing

Everton has averaged 52% possession this season, with a pass completion rate of 81%. Ipswich, meanwhile, has struggled to control games, averaging 45% possession and a pass completion rate of 75%. Everton’s ability to dominate possession could be a key factor in this match.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Everton vs. Ipswich Town promises to be an intriguing encounter with significant implications for both teams. Everton will be looking to end their season on a high note, while Ipswich will aim to salvage some pride before their return to the Championship. Based on current form, statistical analysis, and betting odds, Everton is the clear favorite to win this match. However, the unpredictable nature of football means that anything can happen on the day.

For bettors, focusing on markets such as match outcome, total goals, and both teams to score could provide valuable opportunities. Remember to gamble responsibly and consider all available information before placing your bets.