Welcome to our in-depth analysis of the upcoming Serie A clash between Empoli and Roma, set to take place on March 9, 2025, at the Stadio Carlo Castellani. Whether you’re a passionate football fan or a betting enthusiast looking for expert insights, this article is your go-to resource for Empoli vs. Roma predictions, betting tips, statistical breakdowns, and the latest odds. As of today, March 7, 2025, both teams are gearing up for what promises to be an intriguing encounter in Italy’s top flight. Let’s dive into the details, explore the stats, and uncover the best betting opportunities for this match.
The Italian Serie A continues to deliver thrilling football, and this weekend’s fixture between Empoli and Roma is no exception. Empoli, a side battling to secure their top-flight status, will host an in-form Roma team that’s riding a wave of momentum under Claudio Ranieri. Scheduled for Sunday, March 9, 2025, at 2:00 PM EST (adjusting for the current date of March 7, 2025, being a Friday), this match could have significant implications for both teams’ seasons.
Empoli are currently hovering near the relegation zone, making every point crucial as they fight to avoid the drop to Serie B. Roma, on the other hand, are enjoying an impressive run, unbeaten in their last 11 Serie A matches and chasing a top-four finish. With contrasting fortunes and stakes, this game offers plenty of intrigue for fans and bettors alike.
In this article, we’ll break down the key factors influencing our Empoli vs. Roma prediction, provide actionable betting tips, analyze the latest stats, and highlight the best betting odds available. Let’s get started!
Empoli’s Struggles and Resilience
Empoli have had a challenging season so far. As of early March 2025, they sit precariously close to the relegation zone, with recent results reflecting their inconsistent form. Their latest outing, a 1-1 draw against Genoa, showed grit but also highlighted their inability to secure a win since early December. This drought has left them as 29/10 underdogs heading into this clash with Roma.
Despite their struggles, Empoli have shown flashes of resilience, particularly at home. Their defensive organization has kept them competitive in tight matches, but their lack of firepower up front remains a glaring issue. Manager Roberto D’Aversa will need a tactical masterclass to upset the odds here.
Roma’s Resurgence Under Ranieri
Roma, in stark contrast, are flying high. Since Claudio Ranieri took charge, the Giallorossi have transformed into one of Serie A’s most consistent teams. An 11-game unbeaten streak in the league, coupled with a recent 3-2 comeback win over Athletic Bilbao in the Europa League, has them brimming with confidence.
Roma’s attacking options, including the likes of Artem Dovbyk and Paulo Dybala, have started to click, while their defense, marshaled by Chris Smalling, has been rock-solid. This balance makes them a formidable opponent, even on the road.
The historical record between these two sides heavily favors Roma. Over the last decade, the Giallorossi have dominated this fixture, particularly at the Stadio Olimpico, but they’ve also had success in Empoli. However, Empoli pulled off a surprise 2-1 victory in their most recent match on August 25, 2024, at Roma’s home ground—a result that snapped Roma’s eight-game winning streak against them.
Last 5 H2H Results:
Key Stat: Roma have won 13 of their last 15 away matches against Empoli, with two draws and no losses. However, Empoli’s recent back-to-back wins suggest they’ve found a way to trouble the capital club.
This H2H data paints a mixed picture: Roma’s long-term dominance is undeniable, but Empoli’s recent upsets add an element of unpredictability to our prediction.
Empoli
Roma
Let’s dig into the numbers to inform our betting tips and predictions:
Goals Per Game:
Defensive Record:
Shots on Target:
Possession:
These stats underline Roma’s superiority in both attack and defense, while Empoli’s struggles in front of goal could prove costly against a team of this caliber.
Based on current form, historical data, and statistical analysis, here’s our prediction for the match:
Roma to Win 1-0
Roma’s recent run of form, particularly their defensive solidity on the road, makes them the clear favorites. Empoli’s lack of scoring prowess at home—combined with Roma’s ability to grind out narrow victories—points to a low-scoring affair. While Empoli have upset Roma twice this season, the Giallorossi’s momentum and quality should shine through in this encounter.
Now, let’s explore the best betting opportunities for this match. We’ve analyzed the odds and trends to bring you actionable tips:
Roma to Win (Moneyline)
Under 2.5 Goals
Artem Dovbyk to Score Anytime
Both Teams to Score: No
Correct Score: Roma 1-0
As of March 7, 2025, here are the latest odds from top bookmakers (subject to change):
Tip: Always shop around for the best odds, as they can vary between bookmakers. Platforms like Bet365, William Hill, and Unibet often offer promotions or boosted odds for Serie A matches—check their sites closer to kickoff on March 9.
Empoli’s Approach
Empoli are likely to adopt a defensive, counter-attacking setup under Roberto D’Aversa. With their survival on the line, they’ll prioritize keeping things tight at the back, relying on quick transitions to catch Roma off-guard. Expect a compact 4-4-2 or 4-5-1 formation, with Colombo and Esposito tasked with making the most of limited chances.
Roma’s Game Plan
Claudio Ranieri’s Roma will look to control possession and dictate the tempo. Their 3-5-2 system allows for flexibility, with wing-backs pushing high to stretch Empoli’s defense. Dovbyk and Dybala will aim to exploit gaps, while the midfield trio of Cristante, Paredes, and Pellegrini will provide balance and creativity.
Empoli
Roma
Why This Match Matters
For Empoli, this is a must-win game in their fight against relegation. A victory could lift them out of the bottom three, depending on other results. For Roma, three points would strengthen their grip on a Champions League spot and keep the pressure on the teams above them. The stakes couldn’t be higher, adding an extra layer of intensity to this clash.
This Empoli vs. Roma matchup leans heavily in favor of the visitors, but football is rarely predictable—especially when survival is on the line. Roma’s form and quality should see them through, but Empoli’s desperation could make it closer than the odds suggest. Our top betting picks—Roma to win, Under 2.5 goals, and Dovbyk to score—offer a balanced mix of safety and value.
If you’re a cautious bettor, stick with Roma to win or Both Teams to Score: No. For those chasing bigger returns, the 1-0 correct score or Dovbyk anytime goalscorer bets are worth a punt. Whatever your strategy, enjoy the match and bet responsibly!
When and where is Empoli vs. Roma happening?
The match is scheduled for Sunday, March 9, 2025, at 2:00 PM EST at the Stadio Carlo Castellani in Empoli, Italy.
What’s the best bet for this game?
Our top recommendation is Roma to win at 1/1 odds, given their superior form and Empoli’s struggles.
Are there any key injuries to note?
Empoli have multiple players sidelined, including Haas and Ebuehi, while Roma will miss the suspended Mancini and could be without Zalewski and Solbakken.
Where can I watch Empoli vs. Roma?
Check local listings for broadcasters like Sky Sports, beIN Sports, or streaming services like Paramount+ (US) or DAZN (Italy).
What’s the predicted score?
We’re predicting a 1-0 win for Roma, reflecting their defensive strength and Empoli’s scoring drought.
The Empoli vs. Roma clash on March 9, 2025, is shaping up to be a fascinating battle between a relegation-threatened underdog and a resurgent giant. With Roma favored to extend their unbeaten run and Empoli desperate for points, the outcome hinges on execution rather than desire. Use our prediction, betting tips, and stats to guide your wagers, and may your bets be as successful as Roma’s recent form! What’s your take on this matchup? Drop your thoughts in the comments below!
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