EC Vitoria vs. Vasco da Gama: Prediction, Betting Tips

The upcoming clash between EC Vitoria and Vasco da Gama in the Brazilian Serie A is generating significant buzz among football enthusiasts and bettors alike. Scheduled for May 10, 2025, at the Estádio Manoel Barradas in Salvador, this match promises to be a thrilling encounter. In this article, we will delve into detailed predictions, betting tips, analysis, and statistics to provide you with a comprehensive guide for this exciting fixture.

Match Overview

Teams: EC Vitoria vs. Vasco da Gama
Date: May 10, 2025
Venue: Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador, Brazil
Competition: Brazilian Serie A

Team Form and Recent Performances

EC Vitoria:

EC Vitoria has had a challenging season so far, currently sitting in the 18th position in the league table. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with only one win in their last seven matches. They have drawn three and lost three, highlighting their struggles both offensively and defensively.

• Last 5 Matches:
  • Vitoria 1-1 Defensa y Justicia (CONMEBOL Sudamericana)
  • Ceara 1-0 Vitoria (Serie A)
  • Vitoria 1-1 Gremio (Serie A)
  • Vitoria 0-1 Cerro Largo (CONMEBOL Sudamericana)
  • Fluminense 1-1 Vitoria (Serie A)

Vasco da Gama:

Vasco da Gama, on the other hand, is positioned 14th in the league standings. Their recent form has been slightly better than Vitoria’s, with two wins, one draw, and four losses in their last seven matches. Vasco da Gama has shown resilience, especially in their away games.

Last 5 Matches:

• Vasco da Gama 0-1 Palmeiras (Serie A)
• Operario-PR 1-1 Vasco da Gama (Copa do Brasil)
• Cruzeiro 1-0 Vasco da Gama (Serie A)
• Vasco da Gama 0-0 Lanus (CONMEBOL Sudamericana)
• Vasco da Gama 0-0 Flamengo (Serie A)

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is quite balanced, with Vitoria winning six of the last 12 encounters, Vasco da Gama winning four, and two matches ending in a draw. This history suggests a closely contested match, with both teams having the potential to secure a victory.

Recent H2H Results:

• Sep 1, 2024: Vitoria 0-1 Vasco da Gama
• May 12, 2024: Vasco da Gama 2-1 Vitoria
• Nov 11, 2021: Vasco da Gama 0-3 Vitoria
• Aug 7, 2021: Vitoria 0-1 Vasco da Gama

Key Players to Watch

EC Vitoria:

• Alerrandro: The forward has been a key player for Vitoria, contributing significantly to their attacking efforts. With three goals and three assists in the season, he will be crucial in breaking down Vasco da Gama’s defense.
• Osvaldo: Another important player for Vitoria, Osvaldo has scored two goals and provided several key passes, making him a vital part of their midfield.

Vasco da Gama:

• Pablo Vegetti: The striker has been in good form, scoring three goals in the last ten matches. His ability to find the back of the net will be essential for Vasco da Gama.
• Hugo Moura: A versatile midfielder, Moura has been instrumental in both defensive and offensive plays, providing stability and creativity in the middle of the park.

Betting Tips and Analysis

Match Outcome:

Given the recent form and head-to-head record, this match is expected to be closely contested. However, Vasco da Gama’s slightly better form and their ability to perform in away games give them a slight edge. A draw or a narrow win for Vasco da Gama seems likely.

• Prediction: Draw or Vasco da Gama to win
• Odds: Draw (3.25), Vasco da Gama to win (3.7)

Over/Under Goals:

Both teams have struggled to score consistently, with Vitoria averaging 0.9 goals per match and Vasco da Gama averaging 0.9 goals per match in their last ten games. This suggests a low-scoring affair.

• Prediction: Under 2.5 goals
• Odds: Under 2.5 goals (1.75)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS):

Considering the defensive vulnerabilities of both teams, there is a good chance that both sides will find the net. However, their recent scoring records indicate that this might not be a high-scoring game.

• Prediction: Both Teams to Score – No
• Odds: BTTS – No (1.75)

Correct Score Prediction:

Based on the analysis, a 1-0 or 1-1 scoreline seems plausible. Vitoria’s home advantage might help them secure a draw, but Vasco da Gama’s resilience could see them snatch a narrow victory.

• Prediction: 1-0 to Vasco da Gama or 1-1 draw
• Odds: 1-0 (7.00), 1-1 (6.00)

Statistical Insights

EC Vitoria:

• Goals Scored: 9 goals in the last 10 matches (0.9 goals per match)
• Goals Conceded: 11 goals in the last 10 matches (1.1 goals per match)
• Clean Sheets: 3 in the last 10 matches
• BTTS: 40% of matches

Vasco da Gama:

• Goals Scored: 9 goals in the last 10 matches (0.9 goals per match)
• Goals Conceded: 12 goals in the last 10 matches (1.2 goals per match)
• Clean Sheets: 4 in the last 10 matches
• BTTS: 30% of matches

Conclusion

The match between EC Vitoria and Vasco da Gama is set to be an intriguing contest, with both teams eager to improve their standings in the Brazilian Serie A. While Vitoria will rely on their home advantage and key players like Alerrandro and Osvaldo, Vasco da Gama’s resilience and the form of players like Pablo Vegetti and Hugo Moura could prove decisive.

For bettors, the key tips include considering a draw or a narrow win for Vasco da Gama, betting on under 2.5 goals, and possibly opting for a 1-0 or 1-1 correct score prediction. As always, it’s essential to gamble responsibly and consider all factors before placing your bets.