Athletic Bilbao and Mallorca are two teams with rich histories in Spanish football, each bringing their unique style to the La Liga stage. Athletic Bilbao, known for their passionate Basque support and tradition of fielding players with regional ties, have been a consistent mid-to-upper-table team in recent years. Mallorca, on the other hand, have fought their way back into La Liga after years of fluctuating fortunes, showing resilience and tactical discipline under their current management.
As of March 2025, both teams are vying for crucial points to bolster their chances of securing a European spot or, at the very least, a comfortable mid-table finish. This match, scheduled for March 9, 2025, at the iconic San Mamés Stadium in Bilbao, is more than just a game—it’s a battle of wits, strategy, and sheer determination. Let’s break down everything you need to know about this fixture, from team form and head-to-head stats to betting odds and tips.
Current Form: How Are Both Teams Performing?
Athletic Bilbao have been in solid form this season, balancing their domestic campaign with European commitments. With a strong home record at San Mamés, they’ve been tough to break down defensively while showcasing flair in attack through players like Iñaki Williams and Nico Williams. Their recent performances suggest a team that’s peaking at the right time, with a mix of experienced heads and youthful exuberance.
Mallorca, under the guidance of Jagoba Arrasate, have been a surprise package this season. Known for their compact defensive structure, they’ve managed to grind out results against some of La Liga’s bigger sides. However, their away form has been inconsistent, and they’ll need to be at their absolute best to leave Bilbao with a positive result.
The historical record between these two sides leans slightly in favor of Athletic Bilbao. Over the past decade, Bilbao have dominated this fixture, winning more often than not, particularly at home. In their last five encounters, Bilbao have secured three wins, with Mallorca managing just one victory—an away win in February 2022. The remaining match ended in a draw, which is a common outcome in this fixture.
Key trends from recent head-to-head clashes:
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao will be without midfielder Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta, who is suspended for this match after picking up a red card in a previous game. There are also doubts over the fitness of central defender Dani Vivian, who might be rested following a midweek European fixture. However, Ernesto Valverde has a deep squad to choose from, with the likes of Oihan Sancet and Gorka Guruzeta expected to lead the attack.
Predicted Lineup for Athletic Bilbao (4-2-3-1):
Simón (GK) – De Marcos, Paredes, Yeray, Berchiche – Vesga, Prados – I. Williams, Sancet, N. Williams – Guruzeta
Mallorca
Mallorca have fewer injury concerns but will need to manage the workload of key players like Vedat Muriqi, who has been their talisman up front. Midfielder Dani Rodríguez is a doubt after picking up a knock in training, but Arrasate is likely to stick with his tried-and-tested 4-4-2 formation.
Predicted Lineup for Mallorca (4-4-2):
Greif (GK) – Maffeo, Valjent, Raíllo, Mojica – Navarro, Morlanes, Costa, Darder – Muriqi, Larin
Tactical Breakdown
Athletic Bilbao are likely to dominate possession and look to exploit the flanks with the pace of Iñaki and Nico Williams. Their high-pressing game at San Mamés often overwhelms opponents, and they’ll aim to pin Mallorca back early on. Expect Bilbao to create plenty of chances, especially from set pieces, where they’ve been lethal this season.
Mallorca, meanwhile, will focus on soaking up pressure and hitting Bilbao on the counter. Vedat Muriqi’s physical presence up top will be crucial for holding up play and bringing others into the game. Mallorca’s success will hinge on their ability to stay disciplined defensively and capitalize on any mistakes from Bilbao’s backline.
Athletic Bilbao: Iñaki Williams
The experienced forward has been in fine form this season, scoring and assisting with regularity. His pace and directness will pose a constant threat to Mallorca’s defense, especially on the counter.
Mallorca: Vedat Muriqi
The Kosovo international has been Mallorca’s standout performer, leading the line with a mix of aerial prowess and clinical finishing. If Mallorca are to get anything from this game, Muriqi will need to be at his best.
Match Prediction
Given Athletic Bilbao’s strong home record and Mallorca’s struggles on the road, the odds favor a Bilbao win. However, Mallorca’s defensive resilience could make this a closer contest than expected. We predict a narrow victory for Athletic Bilbao, with a final scoreline of 2-1. Both teams are likely to score, as Bilbao’s attacking firepower should eventually break through, while Mallorca’s counter-attacking threat could yield a goal.
Match Result: Athletic Bilbao to Win
Athletic Bilbao have been formidable at home, and their recent record against Mallorca gives them the edge. A straightforward bet on Bilbao to win offers decent value.
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes
While Bilbao have kept clean sheets against Mallorca in the past, the visitors have shown they can nick a goal on the road this season. Meanwhile, Bilbao’s attacking output suggests they’ll find the net at least once.
Over/Under Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
Recent matches between these two sides have often been low-scoring affairs, with Mallorca’s defensive setup designed to frustrate opponents. While Bilbao might edge the game, it’s unlikely to turn into a goal-fest.
First Goalscorer: Iñaki Williams
Given his form and knack for getting into dangerous positions, Iñaki Williams is a solid pick to open the scoring for Bilbao.
Double Chance: Athletic Bilbao Win or Draw
If you’re looking for a safer bet, the double chance market offers value. Even if Bilbao don’t win, they’re unlikely to lose at home.
As of March 2025, here’s a roundup of the best betting odds for Athletic Bilbao vs. Mallorca across various markets (odds are subject to change):
Match Result (1X2):
Both Teams to Score:
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
First Goalscorer:
Tips for Finding the Best Odds
Team Stats Comparison
| Statistic | Athletic Bilbao | Mallorca |
| Goals Scored (Per Game) | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals Conceded (Per Game) | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| Home Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Away Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Clean Sheets (Season) | 8 | 7 |
Athletic Bilbao
Mallorca
Statistical Trends
Why San Mamés Could Be the Deciding Factor
San Mamés is more than just a stadium—it’s a fortress. The atmosphere generated by Athletic Bilbao’s fans is intimidating, and the team feeds off that energy. Mallorca will need to weather an early storm and remain composed under pressure, something they’ve struggled with in past visits. Bilbao’s pressing game is particularly effective at home, where they’ve won 60% of their matches this season.
Final Thoughts
The Athletic Bilbao vs. Mallorca match is shaping up to be a fascinating contest between two teams with contrasting styles. Bilbao’s attacking flair and home advantage give them the edge, but Mallorca’s defensive solidity and counter-attacking threat mean they can’t be written off. For bettors, there’s value in backing Bilbao to win, though safer options like Both Teams to Score or Under 2.5 Goals could also pay off.
Our Final Prediction
When and where is the Athletic Bilbao vs. Mallorca match taking place?
The match is scheduled for March 9, 2025, at San Mamés Stadium in Bilbao, Spain.
Who are the key players to watch in this game?
For Athletic Bilbao, Iñaki Williams and Oihan Sancet are ones to watch. For Mallorca, Vedat Muriqi and Sergi Darder will be crucial.
What are the best betting tips for this match?
Our top tips include betting on Athletic Bilbao to win, Both Teams to Score – Yes, and Under 2.5 Goals for a safer option.
Where can I find the best betting odds for this game?
Bookmakers like Bet365, Betway, and Betfair offer competitive odds. Always compare odds across platforms for the best value.
What’s the historical record between these two teams?
Athletic Bilbao have won more often in recent years, with three wins in their last five matches. Mallorca’s last win came in February 2022.
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