Aston Villa vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

Aston Villa welcome Maccabi Tel Aviv to a tightly secured Villa Park on Thursday, November 6, 2025, for a UEFA Europa League clash that extends far beyond the football pitch. With kick-off at 20:00 UTC, this match presents a fascinating contrast: a Premier League side aiming to assert their domestic strength on the European stage against an Israeli club grappling with the dual challenges of poor continental form and a deeply politicized fixture. This article provides an in-depth preview, including tactical analysis, betting tips, and predictions to guide your wagering decisions.

Match Overview

The stage is set for a compelling Group Stage encounter in the Europa League. The match will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 2 in the UK, offering fans a front-row seat to what promises to be a tense and tactical affair.

• Competition: UEFA Europa League
• Date: Thursday, November 6, 2025
• Kick-off Time: 20:00 GMT / 21:00 CET
• Venue: Villa Park, Birmingham
• Broadcast: TNT Sports 2 (UK)

This fixture is shrouded in unprecedented security measures. West Midlands Police have deployed more than 700 officers to manage the event, implementing a no-fly zone over the stadium and utilizing drone countermeasures to ensure safety. Compounding the tense atmosphere, Maccabi Tel Aviv will have no supporters in attendance after the club and local authorities upheld a ban on away fans, a decision that has sparked controversy and accusations of political interference.

Current Form and Team Analysis

A clear disparity in form and comfort within the Europa League emerges when analyzing both teams’ recent performances.

Aston Villa’s Steady Ascent

Under the meticulous management of Unai Emery, a Europa League specialist, Aston Villa have found their rhythm after an initial shaky start to the campaign. Their recent home form has been particularly impressive, making Villa Park a fortress.

• Europa League Form: In the league stage, Villa have secured 2 wins and 1 loss from their three outings, scoring 4 goals while conceding just 2. This places them in a respectable 10th position in the overall table.
• Domestic Momentum: They are currently on a run of 4 wins from their last 6 matches across all competitions.
• Home Fortress: Villa are on a formidable run at Villa Park, winning their last four home games. Even more telling is their defensive solidity, having recently beaten teams like Manchester City and Feyenoord without conceding a goal. They remain undefeated in 19 of their last 20 home matches.

Maccabi Tel Aviv’s European Struggles

In stark contrast to their domestic dominance in the Israeli League, Maccabi Tel Aviv have looked out of their depth in European competition. Their record makes for grim reading and highlights the significant step up in class.

• Europa League Form: They are languishing in 32nd place in the league stage with a paltry 1 point from 3 games. Their goal difference of -5 (1 goal scored, 6 conceded) underscores their struggles at this level.
• Scoring Woes: The attack has been a major concern, with the team managing just one goal in their last four European matches. This includes heavy 3-0 and 3-1 away defeats to Midtjylland and Dinamo Zagreb, respectively.
• Domestic Bliss, Continental Blight: It’s a classic case of a dominant domestic force failing to translate that success onto the European stage, suggesting a gulf in quality when facing organised opponents from stronger leagues.

Head-to-Head (H2H) History

Historically, there is no significant head-to-head record between these two clubs, making this a novel and intriguing fixture. The analysis, therefore, must rely heavily on current form, tactical setups, and performances against comparable opposition.

Team News, Lineups, and Tactical Breakdown

Injuries and squad availability will play a crucial role in shaping the tactical battle on the pitch.

Aston Villa Team News and Probable Lineup

Unai Emery has a few key absentees to contend with. Youri Tielemans, Andres Garcia, and Emiliano Buendia are all confirmed to be unavailable due to injury. Additionally, Ross Barkley is ineligible to feature, and Amadou Onana is also sidelined.

Despite these setbacks, Villa’s squad depth should allow them to field a strong side. Emery is expected to stick with his favoured 4-2-3-1 formation, which provides both defensive stability and attacking fluidity.

Aston Villa Probable Starting XI (4-2-3-1):

• Goalkeeper: Emiliano Martínez
• Defence: Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres, Lucas Digne
• Defensive Midfield: Boubacar Kamara, John McGinn
• Attacking Midfield: Jadon Sancho, Morgan Rogers, Leon Bailey
• Striker: Ollie Watkins

Maccabi Tel Aviv Team News and Probable Lineup

Maccabi Tel Aviv has a relatively cleaner bill of health, with no major unavailable players reported. However, they will be without Kervin Andrade and Itamar Noy, who are sidelined.

Manager Žarko Lazetić is likely to set up his team in a compact 4-4-2 formation, aiming to stay organized defensively and hit Villa on the counter-attack.

Maccabi Tel Aviv Probable Starting XI (4-4-2):

• Goalkeeper: Roei Mashpati
• Defence: Tyrese Asante, Raz Shlomo, Mohamed Camara, Roy Revivo
• Midfield: Osher Davida, Issouf Sissokho, Ido Shahar, Ben Lederman
• Attack: Dor Peretz, Elad Madmon

Tactical Keys to the Game

1. Villa’s Width and Possession: Expect Aston Villa to dominate possession and use their full-backs, Cash and Digne, to provide width, pinning Maccabi’s midfield and defence back.
2. Maccabi’s Low Block and Counter: Maccabi will likely deploy a deep defensive block, looking to stay compact and frustrate Villa. Their primary hope will be quick transitions and exploiting set-pieces.
3. The Midfield Battle: The pivot of Kamara and McGinn will be crucial for Villa in screening counter-attacks and recycling possession. Maccabi’s central duo of Sissokho and Shahar will have a busy night breaking up play.

Betting Tips, Odds, and Predictions

This section breaks down the most valuable betting opportunities based on the comprehensive analysis of both teams.

Match Prediction and Reasoning

All logic and statistical evidence point towards a comfortable home victory for Aston Villa.

The reasoning is threefold:

1. Form and Class: Villa are in superior form, especially at home, and are competing in a far more demanding domestic league.
2. Defensive Solidity vs. Offensive Frailty: Villa’s strong defensive record at Villa Park directly contradicts Maccabi’s profound struggles to score in Europe. This mismatch is the most compelling argument for a Villa win.
3. The Villa Park Factor: The combination of a passionate home crowd (even without away fans) and Villa’s recent dominance at their ground creates an intimidating environment for a struggling visitor.

Forebet’s algorithm gives Aston Villa a 47% chance of winning, projecting a narrow 1-0 victory. However, given Maccabi’s heavy away losses to teams of a similar calibre to Villa, a more emphatic win is a distinct possibility.

Recommended Betting Tips

Here are the most insightful betting tips for this fixture:

Main Tip: Aston Villa to Win to Nil

• Odds: 11/10
• Reasoning: This is the standout bet. Maccabi’s inability to score in Europe, combined with Villa’s propensity for clean sheets at home, makes this a highly probable outcome. Villa have shown they can shut out elite attacks, so containing Maccabi’s faltering frontline is a very achievable task.

Alternative Tip: Aston Villa -1.5 Asian Handicap

• Reasoning: For those seeking better value, this bet requires Villa to win by at least two goals. Given that teams like Dinamo Zagreb and Midtjylland have put three past Maccabi away from home, Villa’s superior quality makes a multi-goal victory a strong possibility.

Correct Score Prediction: Aston Villa 3-0

• Odds: 13/2
• Reasoning: This scoreline reflects the potential gulf in class. It accounts for Villa’s attacking prowess at home and Maccabi’s defensive vulnerabilities on the road in this competition. A 3-0 victory perfectly encapsulates a dominant, controlled performance from the hosts.

Additional Betting Markets

• Over/Under 3 Goals: The “Over 3 goals” market has community support, banking on Villa’s attack firing against a leaky Maccabi defence. However, with the “Win to Nil” narrative being so strong, a 2-0 or 3-0 scoreline is more likely than a goal-fest.
• Both Teams to Score? No. This is an excellent supplementary bet, reinforcing the logic behind the “Win to Nil” tip.

Key Statistics and Trends Summary

For a quick overview, the table below consolidates the most critical data points influencing this prediction.

Conclusion

The upcoming Europa League clash between Aston Villa and Maccabi Tel Aviv is a match defined by stark contrasts. Villa, robust and confident at their home fortress, are poised to capitalize on the evident struggles of their opponents. Maccabi Tel Aviv, shorn of support and plagued by a toothless attack in Europe, face a monumental task to get anything from this game.

From a betting perspective, the most intelligent and value-driven approach is to back Aston Villa to secure a victory without conceding a goal. The statistics, current form, and tactical matchups all align to make this the most compelling bet. For those seeking higher odds, a 3-0 correct score or the -1.5 Asian Handicap offer excellent alternatives to leverage Villa’s expected dominance.

As always, please gamble responsibly. The odds and predictions are based on current analysis and are subject to change.