Arsenal vs. Brighton Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

The Emirates Stadium sets the stage for a highly anticipated Carabao Cup fourth-round clash on Wednesday, October 29, 2025, as Premier League leaders Arsenal host a spirited Brighton & Hove Albion. This fixture represents a classic clash of styles, pitting Arsenal’s formidable defensive organization against Brighton’s free-scoring attack. With a quarter-final place on the line, both managers face strategic selection dilemmas amid packed fixture schedules. This comprehensive preview provides key insights, tactical analysis, and expert betting tips to guide your approach to this compelling EFL Cup encounter.

Match Overview and Team News

Current Form and Head-to-Head Record

Arsenal enters this match in exceptional form, having secured seven consecutive victories across all competitions. The Gunners have been particularly impressive defensively, conceding only three goals all season with just one from open play. Their domestic campaign sees them sitting four points clear at the Premier League summit, while他们也 have maintained a perfect record in the Champions League.

Brighton presents a contrasting profile, showcasing formidable attacking prowess coupled with defensive vulnerability. The Seagulls have scored 12 goals without reply in their two Carabao Cup matches against Oxford United and Barnsley (both 6-0 victories). However, their recent 4-2 defeat to Manchester United highlighted persistent defensive issues, having now conceded 15 goals in their Premier League campaign.

Historically, Arsenal holds the advantage in this fixture, leading the head-to-head record with 17 wins to Brighton’s 8, with 7 matches ending drawn. The most recent encounter between these sides in January 2025 finished in a 1-1 stalemate.

Team News and Expected Lineups

Arsenal

Manager Mikel Arteta is expected to rotate his squad significantly to manage player workload across multiple competitions. The Gunners have several injury concerns following their physical battle with Crystal Palace:

• Key absentees: William Saliba, Declan Rice, and Riccardo Calafiori all picked up knocks against Palace and are unlikely to be risked. Martin Ødegaard, Kai Havertz, Gabriel Jesus, and Noni Madueke remain unavailable.
• Potential debutants: Deadline-day signing Piero Hincapie could be in line for his full debut.
• Expected changes: Backup goalkeeper Kepa Arrizabalaga is likely to start, with opportunities for Ben White, Cristhian Mosquera, Myles Lewis-Skelly, Ethan Nwaneri, Mikel Merino, Christian Norgaard, and Max Dowman.

Brighton

Manager Fabian Hurzeler may make fewer changes than his counterpart, given the step up in opposition quality compared to previous rounds :

• Injury concerns: Kaoru Mitoma (ankle), Joel Veltman (calf), and Brajan Gruda (knee) remain doubts but could feature. Adam Webster, Solly March, and Jack Hinshelwood are long-term absentees.
• Key attackers: Diego Gomez, who scored four goals in the previous round against Barnsley, is likely to start. Danny Welbeck continues to be a threat, having netted five goals in his last five matches.

Predicted Lineups

• Arsenal (4-2-3-1): Kepa; White, Mosquera, Hincapie, Zinchenko; Merino, Norgaard; Nwaneri, Eze, Trossard; Gyökeres
• Brighton (4-2-3-1): Verbruggen; Lamptey, Dunk, Igor, De Cuyper; Gomez, Gross; Minteh, Pedro, March; Welbeck

Arsenal vs Brighton Match Prediction

Tactical Analysis

This match presents a fascinating clash of contrasting philosophies. Arsenal’s approach will likely be built upon their defensive solidity and organizational discipline. The Gunners have kept five consecutive clean sheets , becoming only the second English side after Manchester United to go 100 games without conceding three or more goals.

Brighton’s games tend to be open-ended affairs, with eight of their last nine competitive matches producing over 2.5 goals. Their matches frequently see goals at both ends, with seven of their last eight games witnessing both teams finding the net.

The midfield battle will be crucial, with Arsenal’s likely duo of Merino and Norgaard tasked with disrupting Brighton’s rhythm and supplying their creative players. Eberechi Eze, who scored the winner against Crystal Palace, will be a key figure in Arsenal’s attacking transitions.

Scoreline Prediction

Considering Arsenal’s formidable home record, defensive resilience, and superior squad depth, they are favored to progress to the quarter-finals. However, Brighton’s attacking threat suggests they’re capable of finding the net.

Prediction: Arsenal 2-1 Brighton

Arsenal’s quality, even with rotations, should see them through against a Brighton side that scores freely but struggles defensively. The Gunners are expected to control proceedings and create sufficient chances to secure victory, though Brighton’s attacking prowess likely prevents another clean sheet for the hosts.

Betting Odds, Tips and Markets

Current Odds Overview

The table below summarizes the latest betting odds for key markets:

Recommended Betting Tips

Based on statistical analysis, team form, and tactical matchups, here are our top betting recommendations:

1. Arsenal to Win (@ 1.38-1.48)
   Despite expected rotations, Arsenal’s squad depth and current form make them strong favorites. Their impressive home record and defensive stability provide a solid foundation for victory, even against Championship opposition.
2. Both Teams to Score: Yes (@ 1.78)
   This offers excellent value considering Brighton have scored in all but one of their league matches this season. While Arsenal’s defense is formidable, potential changes to their backline could provide opportunities for Brighton’s potent attack.
3. Over 2.5 Goals (@ 1.62)
   Eight of Brighton’s last nine competitive games have produced over 2.5 goals. Their open style, combined with Arsenal’s attacking quality, suggests a game with at least three goals is probable.

Alternative Betting Markets

For those seeking different betting angles, several alternative markets present interesting opportunities:

• Anytime Goalscorer – Danny Welbeck (@ 4.30) : The former Arsenal player has scored five goals in his past five matches and will be motivated against his old club.
• Eberechi Eze Over 0.5 Shots on Target (@ 1.79) : Eze has recorded one or more shots on target in three consecutive home matches and will be a creative focal point for Arsenal.
• Brighton Over 3.5 Corners (@ 2.10) : Brighton have exceeded this line in six consecutive away matches, making it a statistically supported selection.

Match Information and Viewing Details

• Competition: Carabao Cup (EFL Cup) – Fourth Round
• Date: Wednesday, October 29, 2025
• Kick-off Time: 7:45 PM GMT / 3:45 PM ET
• Venue: Emirates Stadium, London
• Referee: Samuel Barrott

How to Watch

For viewers in the United Kingdom, the match will be televised live on Sky Sports+, with coverage beginning at 7:45 PM GMT. Subscribers can also stream the match live via the Sky Go app.

In the United States, the game will be available for streaming on Paramount+.

Live blogs with real-time updates and expert analysis will be available through platforms like Standard Sport and LiveScore.

Conclusion

The Carabao Cup fourth-round tie between Arsenal and Brighton promises to be an engaging contest between two Premier League sides with contrasting ambitions and approaches. Arsenal, with their immense squad depth and formidable home advantage, are justifiable favorites to advance to the quarter-finals. However, Brighton’s relentless attacking style and penchant for goals suggest they will pose a significant threat and likely find the net.

The recommended betting approach favors an Arsenal victory with both teams scoring, reflecting the Gunners’ superior quality while acknowledging Brighton’s offensive capabilities. The 2-1 scoreline prediction captures the expected competitive nature of this encounter, with Arsenal’s strength ultimately proving decisive.

Regardless of the outcome, this match serves as another fascinating chapter in the growing rivalry between these two clubs and their distinctive footballing philosophies.