The upcoming encounter between Deportivo Alavés and Elche CF, scheduled for October 5, 2025, at the Mendizorrotza Stadium in Vitoria-Gasteiz, represents a significant fixture in the 2025-26 La Liga season. This match, part of matchday 8, pits a mid-table Alavés side against a surprisingly strong Elche team that has returned to the top flight following promotion and is currently enjoying an unbeaten start to the campaign. As both clubs aim to solidify their positions in the league standings, this analysis provides a comprehensive overview of team forms, historical context, key personnel, predictive insights, current betting odds, and strategic betting recommendations. The discussion is grounded in recent performance data and statistical trends to assist stakeholders in making informed decisions.
Deportivo Alavés, commonly referred to as Alavés, concluded the 2024-25 La Liga season in 15th place, securing 10 wins, 12 draws, and suffering 16 defeats for a total of 42 points. This positioned them comfortably above the relegation zone but highlighted areas for improvement, particularly in offensive output and defensive consistency. Entering the 2025-26 season, Alavés has shown signs of resilience, currently occupying 11th place in the standings as of October 1, 2025. Elche CF, on the other hand, earned promotion back to La Liga after a strong showing in the Segunda División during the 2024-25 season, where they amassed 22 wins, 11 draws, and 9 losses. Their return to the elite level has been marked by an impressive unbeaten run, placing them fourth in the current La Liga table with 3 wins and 4 draws from their opening 7 matches, accumulating 13 points.
This fixture is particularly intriguing due to the contrasting trajectories of the two teams. Alavés benefits from home advantage, where they have historically performed better, while Elche’s defensive solidity and counter-attacking prowess could pose a substantial challenge. The analysis that follows delves into detailed team evaluations, head-to-head records, and forward-looking assessments to provide a thorough perspective.
Deportivo Alavés, founded in 1921, has established itself as a resilient competitor in Spanish football, with notable achievements including reaching the UEFA Cup final in 2001. In recent years, the club has oscillated between La Liga and the Segunda División, but their current squad reflects a balanced approach under manager Luis García Plaza, who emphasizes disciplined defending and opportunistic attacking.
As of early October 2025, Alavés’s statistical profile in the 2025-26 season indicates an average of 0.86 goals scored per match and 1 goal conceded, resulting in a match goals average of 1.86. Their clean sheet percentage stands at 14%, underscoring a need for greater defensive reliability. Home form has been a strength, with 6 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses in the previous season’s home fixtures, yielding 24 points. In the current campaign, Alavés has demonstrated mixed results in their last five matches:
This sequence reveals a pattern of inconsistency, with defensive lapses in recent defeats but a capacity for grinding out results against stronger sides like Athletic Club. Alavés’s six-month win rate hovers around 50%, with a total win rate of 36% across recent periods. Key to their success will be exploiting home support at Mendizorrotza, where crowd influence can elevate performance levels.
Alavés’s squad features several pivotal players whose contributions could determine the outcome against Elche. Forward Kike García remains a central figure, known for his clinical finishing and aerial ability, having scored crucial goals in past seasons. Midfielder Jon Guridi provides creativity and control in the engine room, while defender Abdel Abqar anchors the backline with his robust tackling and positional awareness.
However, injuries pose a challenge. Goalkeeper Antonio Sivera is sidelined with a fractured finger until early February 2025, necessitating reliance on deputy Jesús Owono. Defender Jon Pacheco is out with a muscle injury until late December 2024, though this may extend into 2025, and midfielder C. Protesoni faces a similar muscle issue. Nikola Maras is also unavailable due to injury, and Tomás Conechny is expected to miss several weeks following a head injury. These absences could strain defensive resources, potentially forcing tactical adjustments such as a more conservative formation.
Recent transfers have bolstered the squad, including Hugo Novoa Ramos from Mirandés and Gustavo Albarracín from Huesca in late August 2025, aiming to add depth. Despite setbacks, Alavés’s core remains capable of competing effectively.
Elche CF, established in 1923, has a history of fluctuating fortunes, with periods in La Liga interspersed with lower-division stints. Their promotion at the end of the 2024-25 season marks a return to prominence, driven by a squad emphasizing tactical discipline under manager Pablo Machín. Elche’s approach focuses on compact defending and swift transitions, which has yielded positive results early in 2025-26.
Statistically, Elche boasts a strong record: 3 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with 13 points placing them fourth. They average 1.43 goals scored and 0.86 conceded per match, with an expected goals (xG) of 9.1. Home form is exemplary (3 wins, 1 draw), while away performances have secured 3 draws, indicating resilience on the road. Their last five matches illustrate this unbeaten streak:
Elche’s form is rated as “Very Good,” with a six-month win rate of 20% but an overall improvement to 48% in broader metrics. This suggests a team gaining confidence, particularly in maintaining clean sheets and capitalizing on set pieces.
Elche’s success hinges on key contributors such as forward Mourad El Ghezouani, who joined from Club Tijuana in September 2025 and brings scoring threat with his pace and finishing. Midfielder Aleix Febas offers vision in distribution, while defender José Antonio Fernández Pomares provides stability at the back. Rafael Núñez, on loan, adds versatility.
Injury concerns include midfielder Martim Neto with a muscle injury, expected back in early October 2025, potentially available for this match. Winger Yago Santiago is out with a cruciate ligament injury until mid-October, and Rodrigo Mendoza is absent due to international duty. Adrià Pedrosa and Álvaro Rodríguez are also injured, impacting depth. These issues may necessitate rotations, but Elche’s squad resilience has mitigated similar challenges thus far.
The historical rivalry between Alavés and Elche is evenly matched, with 18 encounters across competitions. Alavés has secured 8 wins, Elche 7, and 3 draws, averaging 1.94 goals per match. Recent matchs favor Alavés slightly:
In the last 6 matchs, Alavés won 3, Elche 2, with 1 draw. Alavés’s home record against Elche is stronger, suggesting potential advantage in this fixture.
Considering the data, a proven computer model simulates Alavés with a 40.6% win probability, Elche at 30.3%, and a draw at 29.0%. Alavés’s home advantage and historical edge may tip the scales, but Elche’s unbeaten form and defensive strength could lead to a low-scoring affair. Prediction: Alavés 1-1 Elche (Draw).
Current Betting Odds
As of October 1, 2025, odds from major bookmakers include:
Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Over +175, Under -137. Both Teams to Score: Yes +100, No -125. These reflect Alavés as slight underdogs despite home status, accounting for Elche’s form.
Betting Tips
These tips are derived from statistical patterns and should be approached with risk management in mind.
The Alavés vs. Elche match on October 5, 2025, promises a tactical battle between a home side seeking consistency and a promoted team exceeding expectations. While Alavés holds advantages in venue and history, Elche’s form suggests a competitive draw is likely. Stakeholders are encouraged to monitor updates on injuries and lineups for refined assessments. This fixture underscores the unpredictability of La Liga, where strategic preparation meets on-pitch execution.
Recent News 
November 14, 2025
November 14, 2025
November 14, 2025
November 14, 2025
November 14, 2025
November 14, 2025
November 14, 2025
November 14, 2025
November 14, 2025
November 14, 2025
November 14, 2025
Online Casinos
Stars Casino: Get $100 bonus cash + 200 bonus spins
Stars Casino: Get $100 bonus cash + 200 bonus spins