Mafra vs. Leixões Prediction: Betting Tips

The Portugal Segunda Liga continues with an intriguing matchup between CD Mafra and Leixões SC, scheduled for May 4, 2025. As the season approaches its climax, both teams are eager to secure vital points. This comprehensive preview delves into the teams’ current form, head-to-head statistics, betting odds, and offers expert predictions to guide your betting decisions.

Current Standings and Recent Form

CD Mafra

• League Position: 18th (18 points)
• Recent Form: L D L L L D
• Goals Scored (Last 6 Matches): 2
• Goals Conceded (Last 6 Matches): 10

Mafra has struggled throughout the season, currently anchoring the bottom of the table. Their recent form reflects their challenges, with no wins in their last six matches. Scoring has been a significant issue, averaging just 0.33 goals per game in this period. Defensively, they’ve conceded an average of 1.67 goals per match, highlighting vulnerabilities at the back.

Leixões SC

• League Position: 12th (30 points)
• Recent Form: W L L D D L
• Goals Scored (Last 6 Matches): 4
• Goals Conceded (Last 6 Matches): 7

Leixões sits in the mid-table, with a season marked by inconsistency. Their recent form includes one win, two draws, and three losses. Offensively, they’ve managed 0.67 goals per game in their last six matches, while conceding an average of 1.17 goals per match.

Head-to-Head Record

The historical encounters between Mafra and Leixões have been relatively balanced:

• Total Matches: 15
• Mafra Wins: 5
• Leixões Wins: 6
• Draws: 4
• Average Goals per Match: 1.80

In their most recent match on December 20, 2024, Leixões secured a 2-1 victory over Mafra.

 Statistical Comparison

Leixões holds a slight edge in offensive metrics, while both teams have similar defensive records.

Betting Odds & Market Analysis

Match Outcome Odds

• Mafra Win: 4.33
• Draw: 3.30
• Leixões Win: 1.87

Leixões enters the match as the favorite, reflecting their better league position and recent form.

Over/Under Goals

• Over 2.5 Goals: 2.30
• Under 2.5 Goals: 1.57

Given the teams’ scoring records, the odds suggest a likelihood of a match with fewer than three goals.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

• Yes: 2.10
• No: 1.70

With both teams having a moderate BTTS percentage, this market presents a balanced risk.

Correct Score Predictions

• 1-0 (Leixões Win): 5.50
• 2-0 (Leixões Win): 7.50
• 2-1 (Leixões Win): 8.50
• 1-1 Draw: 6.00
• 0-1 (Mafra Win): 10.50

The odds favor a narrow victory for Leixões or a low-scoring draw.

Expert Betting Tips

Match Result: Leixões to Win (1.87)
Leixões’ superior form and head-to-head advantage make them the favorites.

Over/Under Goals: Under 2.5 Goals (1.57)
Both teams have struggled offensively, suggesting a low-scoring affair.

Both Teams to Score: No (1.70)
Given Mafra’s scoring difficulties, it’s plausible that only one team will find the net.

Correct Score: Leixões 1-0 (5.50)
A narrow victory for Leixões aligns with recent trends and statistical expectations.

Final Prediction

Considering the current form, statistical analysis, and historical data, Leixões is poised to secure a narrow victory over Mafra. Expect a tightly contested match with limited goals.

• Predicted Scoreline: Leixões 1-0 Mafra